Bayern München vs Hertha BSC Match Preview and Prediction
This is a Bundesliga clash on Friday evening (UK time). Bayern München will take on Hertha BSC at Allianz Arena with a 7:30pm kick-off.
BT Sport 2 will broadcast this one in the UK.
Read on for preview and match prediction.
We have found positive expected value to be exploited in this one. Frog's analysis will break down where it lies.
Betting Odds for Bayern Munchen vs Hertha BSC
First up, a table of the 1X2 odds:
Bayern Munchen: 1.18 (Ladbrokes)
Draw: 8.0 (Bet365)
Hertha BSC: 19.0 (Betfair Sportsbook)
Highlights in the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.33 via Betfair Sportsbook while the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 3.6 if you check out Bet Victor.
Next we take a look at the current odds for the BTTS market. "Yes" can be backed at 1.9 with Bet365 and "No" can be supported at 1.92 for account holders at Unibet.
Head To Head
Bayern München played Hertha BSC in February in a Bundesliga match. The winners were Bayern München securing a final score of 1-0.
In the recent decade, these teams have played 17 times. Bayern München have won in 12 of the match-ups when they've met; Hertha BSC have won once. The other 4 matches ended in a draw.
When these sides meet, there has been an average of 3.06 goals per match. Bayern München have scored an average of 2.29 and Hertha BSC have scored an average of 0.76 per match.
Reviewing the home ground performance in this match-up, whichever side has been home has won 70% of the matches between them. The visiting side has won 5% in this head-to-head record.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 58 matches. They have 38 wins; 13 draws; and 7 losses. This gives Bayern München a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 65%-22%-12%.
Over this period, they have scored 2.43 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.02.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 76% (20 wins) in their 26 home fixtures. 15% (4) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 7% (2) being a loss.
On average they have scored 2.96 times when playing at home in this same period. They have conceded 0.96.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 25 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 60%. Regarding the BTTS count, 7 of these games are matches where both teams have scored... The number of matches with three match goals or more is 7 games in these last ten outings.
There is a total of 49 matches played by this side in the last year. They have 20 wins; 13 draws; and 16 losses. In other words, Hertha BSC have won 40%, drawn 26%, and lost 32% of their recent matches.
In this time, they have scored 1.73 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.59 goals on average.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 46% (12 wins) from the latest 26 away fixtures. 19% (5) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 34% (9) being a loss when they are the away team.
When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.77 and they have conceded 1.46 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have 25 goals in their last ten matches and 6 of these matches have been victories. Of these ten games, 8 of them have seen both sides score; and there has been 8 matches with a combined goal total of three or more.
And they have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
Frog's betting tip for Bayern München vs Hertha BSC
As the match unfolds, we don't expect to see both sides have success in front of goal. Frog is taking No in the Both Teams To Score market, expecting to see just the one side hit the back of the net when Bayern München and Hertha BSC meet. Frog is confident that this is a value play.William Hill rate it as a 2.2 shot in their BTTS market.