Motherwell vs Hearts Match Preview and Prediction
On Friday evening (UK time) 16 August, Motherwell will be taking on Hearts with a 7:45pm kick-off. This is a League Cup game.
See the drama unfold live on BT Sport 1.
The following sections detail the reasons for the prediction in this match.
The narrative of the preview introduces the key stats, and summarises Frog's rationale underpinning the value.
Betting Odds for Motherwell vs Hearts
Supporters of the hosts can get 2.6 about Motherwell with Betfair Sportsbook; backers of the away team will find 2.9 to get with Hearts with Bet365. William Hill are 3.4 for the draw.
Focussing on the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.0 via Bet365 and the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.8 via Bet365.
Here are the current prices for the BTTS offerings. If you like "Yes", it can be backed at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook. For those with the opposite view, "No" can be snapped up at 2.15 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
We start by looking at the fact that Motherwell played Hearts in February for a Premiership fixture. The winners were Motherwell with a winning margin of 2-1.
In the last decade of FTG data, the two sides have met 31 times. Motherwell have won in 14 of them. Their opponents, Hearts have won 13 times. The other 4 matches ended in a draw.
When these sides meet, there has been an average of 2.58 goals per match. Motherwell have scored an average of 1.19; Hearts have scored an average of 1.39.
A look at this match-up for the travelling team reveals that whichever side has been the visiting team has won 41% of these fixtures. The home side has prevailed in 45% of these matches.
Motherwell have played 47 times in the last year. They have 21 wins; 7 draws; and 19 losses. This gives them a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 44%-14%-40%.
In this time, they have scored 1.45 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.36 goals on average.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 50% (11 wins) from the most recent 22 home fixtures. 18% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 31% (7) resulting in a loss for the home team.
On average they have scored 1.82 goals when at home in this last year; they have conceded 1.18.
They are averaging 2.1 goals per game in their most recent ten matches and 6 of these latest matches have been victories. There have been 2 occasions when both Motherwell and their opponents have scored; the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 out of the last ten.
Frog's betting tip for Motherwell vs Hearts
It is hard to make a strong case for both sides having decent chances on goal. Frog is taking No in the Both Teams To Score market, expecting to see just the one side hit the back of the net when Motherwell and Hearts meet. There is the value pick.Unibet are offering "No" at 2.25 in the BTTS market.