Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle Match Preview and Prediction
This is a Eredivisie fixture on Friday evening (UK time). Vitesse will take on PEC Zwolle at GelreDome with a 7:00pm start.
This game has no UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores throughout the match.
Read on for preview, match prediction and recommended bet.
Frog has identified evidence of positive expected value to be taken advantage of in this one.
Tweet @frogthegambler if you agree: this is a Gold bet opportunity.
Betting Odds for Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle
A summary of the Match Odds:
Vitesse: 1.33 (Bet365)
Draw: 5.25 (Bet365)
PEC Zwolle: 8.0 (Bet365)
Head To Head
First up, a look at the most recent match-up between these two sides.Vitesse played PEC Zwolle in April. It was a Eredivisie match. The winners were Vitesse securing a score of 4-1. B. Linssen netted three times for the home side.
In the last decade of FTG data, the two sides have met 17 times. Vitesse have run out winners in 12 of these match-ups; PEC Zwolle have won 2 times. The other 3 matches ended in a draw.
When these sides have met, there has been an average of 2.82 goals. Vitesse have scored an average of 1.94; PEC Zwolle have scored an average of 0.88.
Reviewing the home ground performance in this match-up, whichever side has been home has won 70% of the matches between them. The visiting side has won 11% in this head-to-head record.
Vitesse have 4 points in the Eredivisie, which puts them in 7th position.
There is a total of 50 matches played by the home team in the last year. They have 19 wins; 15 draws; and 16 losses. Therefore, Vitesse have won 38%, drawn 30%, and lost 32% of their recent matches.
Over this period, they have scored 1.76 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.52.
When at home, in this period, they have a win rate of 55% (11 wins) from 20 home fixtures. 35% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 10% (2) ending in a loss.
While playing at home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 2.4 and they have conceded 1.55 on average.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 20%. Of these ten games, 7 of them have seen both sides score; the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 out of the last ten.
They have scored in their last 3 matches.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 45 matches. They have 16 wins; 9 draws; and 20 losses. This gives PEC Zwolle a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 35%-20%-44%.
During this recent year, they average 1.51 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.6.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 34% (9 wins) in their 26 away fixtures. 19% (5) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 46% (12) ending in a loss.
While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.35 and they have conceded 1.58 on average.
In recent form, they have a total of 20 goals in their last ten matches; they have won 2 of these matches. Of those ten matches, 6 of them have seen both sides score and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 games over this same period.
And they are also on a run of 6 matches in a row in which they have scored.
Frog's betting tip for Vitesse vs PEC Zwolle
The data can make a case for all results, and Frog sees it as a match-up in which Vitesse AND PEC Zwolle should have chances to capitalise on, so "Yes" is the best bet for this fixture. Unibet rate it as a 1.76 shot in their BTTS market. According to Frog's research, this is a positive value pick.
And this concludes the verdict for this particular gold bet.