Preview updated at 02:56 17/08/2019 UKT
Atletico Mitre v Estudiantes Caseros
1.51
Under 2.5 Total Goals
Tipped at 2019-08-17 01:30 UKT (always check current prices before betting)

Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros Match Preview and Prediction

Looking ahead to Saturday morning (UK time), Atletico Mitre will be up against Estudiantes Caseros at Estadio Aurinegro with a 2:00am start time. This is a Primera B Nacional fixture.

At the time of writing there is no official UK TV coverage for this match. Check Frog The Gambler's live score page for goal updates throughout the game.

The following key pointers explain the reasoning for the selection in this match.

The detail in the preview explains the most important stats and analytics in this fixture and describes Frog's rationale underpinning the pick. As always, bet responsibly.

Betting Odds for Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros

This table shows the latest 1X2 prices:
Atletico Mitre: 2.44 (bet-at-home)
Draw: 3.06 (marathonbet)
Estudiantes Caseros: 3.1 (bet365)

On the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.65 via bethard. The top price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.51 with marathonbet.

Here are the latest best bets for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 2.11 with marathonbet. "No" is available at 1.7 with unibet.

Head To Head

These two sides have not met in the last decade.

Atletico Mitre

Looking over the last year, they have played 26 matches. They have 11 wins; 5 draws; and 10 losses. This gives Atletico Mitre a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 42%-19%-38%.

In these matches, they have averaged 1.08 goals for, and 1.23 goals against.

A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 50% (7 wins) from the latest 14 home fixtures. 21% (3) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 28% (4) being a loss.

Their home scoring record for this period shows that their average number of goals scored is 1.43 and they have conceded 1.29 on average.

In their last ten matches they have scored 11 times and in this time they have a win rate of 30%. Regarding the BTTS count, 5 of these games are matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from the last ten.

Estudiantes Caseros

There is a total of 39 matches played by the away team over the course of the last year. They have 22 wins; 9 draws; and 8 losses. In other words, Estudiantes Caseros have won 56%, drawn 23%, and lost 20% of their recent matches.

In this period, they have an average of 1.59 goals for, and 0.82 goals against.

A look at their away record in this time. They have a win rate of 55% (11 wins) in their 20 away fixtures. 15% (3) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (6) resulting in a loss as the away side.

When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.35. They have conceded 0.8 on average.

In their last ten matches, across all competitions, they have averaged 1.2 goals per match and this has led to their current win rate of 30%. The total number of times both Estudiantes Caseros and the other team have scored in these games is 6 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from these ten.

Frog's betting tip for Atletico Mitre vs Estudiantes Caseros

Frog doesn't expect to see many goals in this one. The sportsbooks make it odds-on that we will see no more than two goals and this preview agrees. This view represents good value. Frog will be surprised if this is high scoring. Odds of 1.51 are available with marathonbet in their Over/Under 2.5 Goals market.