Forest Green Rovers vs Grimsby Town Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time), Grimsby Town head to The New Lawn to play Forest Green Rovers at 3:00pm. This is a League Two fixture.
This match has no UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores throughout the match.
The following stats and analysis break down the reasoning for the selection in this match-up.
The stats point to the opportunity of expected value when these two sides meet. Frog breaks it down in this preview.
Betting Odds for Forest Green Rovers vs Grimsby Town
Ladbrokes offer 2.2 about Forest Green Rovers; Unibet offer 3.3 for the draw; Bet365 will give you 3.9 about Grimsby Town.
If you're interested in the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.3 with Ladbrokes and the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.62 via William Hill.
And here are the current odds for the BTTS market. If you think both sides will score, "Yes" is currently available at 1.86 with Betfair Sportsbook. "No" can be backed at 2.0 with William Hill.
Head To Head
First up, Frog wants to highlight that Forest Green Rovers played Grimsby Town in January. It was a League Two clash. The winners after 90 minutes were Forest Green Rovers - with a score of 3-0. C. Doidge scored twice for the home side.
Looking back over the last decade, these two sides have gone head-to-head 16 times. Forest Green Rovers have won in 4 of these head-to-head matches. Their opponents, Grimsby Town have won 9 of these clashes. The remaining 3 matches resulted in a draw.
There has been an average of 2.63 goals. Forest Green Rovers score an average of 1.19; Grimsby Town score an average of 1.44 per match.
Focussing on the Home and Away performance numbers, whichever side has been at home has won 25% of these matches and the visitors have got the win 56% of the time.
Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers have 4 points in The League Two. They are in 5th place.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 58 matches. They have 22 wins; 20 draws; and 16 losses. This gives Forest Green Rovers a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 37%-34%-27%.
In this time, they have scored 1.45 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.09 goals on average.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 35% (10 wins) from 28 home fixtures. 32% (9) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 32% (9) resulting in a loss for the home team.
When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.32. They have conceded 1.07 on average.
In their last ten matches they have averaged 1.6 goals per match - 2 of these matches have been wins for them. Of those ten matches, 6 of them have seen both sides score. There has been 3 matches with three goals or more.
Ultimately, there is no strong data to make Forest Green Rovers the value play in this match-up. A bigger price is required.
Grimsby Town have 4 points in League Two. They are in 4th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 60 matches. They have 24 wins; 9 draws; and 27 losses. This gives Grimsby Town a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 40%-15%-45%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.17 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.15.
Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 29% (9 wins) in their 31 away fixtures. 12% (4) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 58% (18) being a loss as the away side.
On the occasions when they have been the visitors, over the year their average number of goals scored is 1.13. They have conceded 1.42 on average.
Their most recent 3 matches have seen them score. Some of these statistics for the away side should give their backers confidence given how the data compares to the prices available.
Frog's betting tip for Forest Green Rovers vs Grimsby Town
In this game, we've got one of the best bets of the day. This is for followers who want an interest in the match, Frog suggests you go with Grimsby Town to win: 4.25 with Unibet. Lately, they do not flinch in front of goal.