Guarani vs Vila Nova Match Preview and Prediction
This is a Serie B match on Saturday morning (UK time). Guarani will welcome Vila Nova at Estádio Brinco de Ouro da Princesa with a 1:30am kick-off.
This game will not be broadcast live in the UK. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish updates throughout the game.
Read on for the preview and match prediction.
Frog can reveal that the odds compilers have done an impressive job on this match. Cautious staking is recommended.
Betting Odds for Guarani vs Vila Nova
Bet Victor go 2.7 about Guarani; Bet365 are offering 3.0 for the draw; William Hill go 3.0 about Vila Nova.
Focussing on the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 3.25 with the market-makers at William Hill; the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.36 via Bet365.
And here are the latest best odds for the Both Teams To Score market. "Yes" is available at 1.57 with Ladbrokes. If you have the opposite view, "No" can be taken at 2.5 with Bet365.
Head To Head
Frog's records show that Guarani played Vila Nova in September; it was a Serie B match. The result was a 1-1 draw.
During the last decade of action, these teams have played 9 times. Guarani have won once and Vila Nova have won 3 matches. A stalemate has occurred 5 times.
In their matches to date, there has been an average of 1.56 goals per game. Guarani have scored an average of 0.67. Vila Nova have scored an average of 0.89 each game.
Looking specifically at the match-up on the road, whichever side has been away has won 33% of the matches between these sides. The home side has secured the win 11% of the time.
In 20th place in Serie B with 13 points are Guarani.
Looking over the last year, they have played 51 matches. They have 15 wins; 15 draws; and 21 losses. This gives Guarani a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 29%-29%-41%.
In these matches, they have averaged 0.86 goals for, and 1.06 goals against.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 45% (11 wins) from 24 home fixtures. 20% (5) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 33% (8) ending in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.17 goals when playing at home in this same period. They have conceded 1.04.
They are averaging 0.7 goals per game in their most recent ten matches and 3 of these latest matches have been victories. Of those ten matches, 4 of them have seen both sides score. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 3 from these ten.
Vila Nova have 15 points in The Serie B, putting them in 16th position.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 56 matches. They have 16 wins; 25 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Vila Nova a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 28%-44%-26%.
In these matches, they have averaged 1.04 goals for, and 1.0 goals against.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 17% (5 wins). There have been 28 away fixtures. 39% (11) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 42% (12) ending in a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 0.89 times when away from home in this same period and they have conceded 1.39.
They are averaging 0.5 goals per game in their most recent ten matches - 2 of these matches have been wins for them. The total number of times both Vila Nova and the other team have scored in these games is 2 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 0 from these ten.
Frog's betting tip for Guarani vs Vila Nova
The sportsbooks have this at a short-price, and Frog thinks it is likely that both sides score in this one. However, this does not provide huge value, so it is a pick made with some reservation. Bet Victor make it a 1.65 shot that both sides will score.