Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time), Morecambe will welcome Cheltenham Town at Globe Arena with a 3:00pm start. This is a League Two fixture.
At the time of writing there is no official UK TV coverage for this fixture. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish goal updates.
Keep reading for preview, match prediction and recommended bet.
Evidence suggests that the sportsbooks have completed an impressive set of prices on this fixture. Please stake sensibly at all times.
Betting Odds for Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town
Supporters of the home side can get 2.75 about Morecambe with Bet Victor; the fans of the away team will find 2.8 about Cheltenham Town if they have an account with Bet365. For the stalemate, Bet365 go 3.5 for a draw.
On the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.05 via Betfair Sportsbook; the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.83 available with Bet Victor.
Now the standout prices for the BTTS market. "Yes" is available at 1.75 with Betfair Sportsbook. "No" is offered at 2.1 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In the latest head-to-head, Morecambe played Cheltenham Town in April, in what was a League Two fixture. The winners were Morecambe - winning with a winning margin of 4-0.
During the last decade of action, these teams have met a total of 19 times. Morecambe have won in 5 of the matches in this period, while Cheltenham Town have won 8 of these occasions. The other 6 matches ended in a draw.
In their head-to-head, there has been an average of 2.32 goals each match. Morecambe have scored an average of 1.0. Cheltenham Town have scored an average of 1.32 per match.
Looking at the match-up on the road, whichever side has been away has won 42% of these encounters. The home side has won 26% of the time.
The home team has 1 point in the League Two. They are in 21st position.
There has been 57 matches played by them in the last year. They have 16 wins; 15 draws; and 26 losses. Therefore, Morecambe have won 28%, drawn 26%, and lost 45% of their recent matches.
Over this period, they have scored 1.18 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.44.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 29% (8 wins). There have been 27 home fixtures. 22% (6) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 48% (13) resulting in a loss.
When on home turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.26 and they have conceded 1.33 on average.
Considering these stats and the match-up, Frog doesn't want to look past a home team win given the odds available. A successful prediction is one thing; but does it represent value?
In 8th place in League Two with 3 points we have the away team.
There have been 60 matches played by them in the last year. They have 19 wins; 16 draws; and 25 losses. This recent form puts Cheltenham Town on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 31%-26%-41%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.3 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.6.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 16% (5 wins) from the most recent 30 away fixtures. 20% (6) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 63% (19) resulting in a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 0.83 goals when away in this last year; they have conceded 1.97.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have scored a total of 11 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 20%. In terms of the BTTS, 5 of these games have been matches where both teams have scored. The frequency of matches with a total of three goals or more is 8 games in their last ten outings.
In conclusion, Frog is cautious about backing this side in this match, and the focus should be with Morecambe given the prices available. They don't represent value.
Frog's betting tip for Morecambe vs Cheltenham Town
Frog suggests that Morecambe will win, but this has low confidence levels. Visit Ladbrokes for odds of 2.65.