Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu Match Preview and Prediction
This is a J-League game on Saturday morning (UK time). Shonan Bellmare will play Sagan Tosu at Shonan BMW Stadium Hiratsuka with a 11:00am kick-off.
There is no UK TV coverage for this fixture. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish real-time updates throughout the match.
The following key findings detail the reasoning for the tip in this match-up.
The key metrics point to the availability of some good value when the sides meet. Frog will break it down below.
Betting Odds for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu
Backers of the hosts can get 2.4 about Shonan Bellmare by visiting Unibet; any backers of the away team will be offered 3.25 about Sagan Tosu by registering with Bet365. Bet Victor are best price 3.4 for the draw.
When analysing the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.02 with the line makers at Unibet. The best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.85 if you like the look of the price at Bet365.
Next, a look at the best odds for the BTTS market. If you think both teams will score, "Yes" is currently available at 1.75 with Bet365. "No" is available at 2.1 for account holders at Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In the most recent match-up, Shonan Bellmare played Sagan Tosu in April. It was a J-League fixture. The winners were Shonan Bellmare with a score of 0-2.
Over the last ten years of results, these sides have played 14 times. Shonan Bellmare have won in 6 of the match-ups when they've met. Sagan Tosu have won 3 of these occasions. The remaining 5 matches resulted in a draw.
In their head-to-head, there has been an average of 1.64 goals during regulation play. Shonan Bellmare score an average of 0.93 and Sagan Tosu score an average of 0.71.
In terms of the impact of home advantage in this match-up, whichever side has been home has won 42% of the matches between them. The visiting side has won 21%.
Currently, Shonan Bellmare have 29 points in J-League, putting them in 11th place.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 53 matches. They have 17 wins; 13 draws; and 23 losses. This gives Shonan Bellmare a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 32%-24%-43%.
In this time, they have scored 1.26 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.53 goals on average.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 34% (9 wins) from the most recent 26 home fixtures. 34% (9) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (8) resulting in a loss.
On average they have scored 1.23 goals when at home in this last year and they have conceded 1.27.
Their recent performance data shows that they have a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 40%. The total number of times both Shonan Bellmare and the opposition have scored is 5 out of the ten. There have been 6 matches with over 2.5 goals.
They are also on a run of 5 matches in a row in which they have scored.
Sagan Tosu have 21 points in The J-League, putting them in 16th position.
There is a total of 45 matches played by them over the recent 12 months. They have 15 wins; 10 draws; and 20 losses. Therefore, Sagan Tosu have won 33%, drawn 22%, and lost 44% of their recent matches.
During this recent year, they average 0.87 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.13.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 17% (4 wins). There have been 23 away fixtures. 30% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 52% (12) resulting in a loss as the away side.
While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 0.57. They have conceded 1.26 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have 11 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 20%. The total number of times both Sagan Tosu and the other team have scored in these games is 6 out of the ten. The frequency of matches with three match goals or more is 6 games in their last ten outings.
Frog's betting tip for Shonan Bellmare vs Sagan Tosu
Given how these sides match up, Frog is taking the Yes option in the both teams to score market. If you agree with this one, you can get involved at 1.86 with the Betfair Sportsbook BTTS market. This tip comes with a good confidence rating.