Stuttgart vs St. Pauli Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time) 17 August, Stuttgart will are playing St. Pauli at Mercedes-Benz-Arena with a 12:00pm kick-off. This is a 2 Bundesliga clash.
There is no UK TV coverage for this fixture. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish goal updates throughout the match.
Read on for full preview and match prediction.
The stats point to the existence of some good value when the sides meet. Frog will break it down below.
Betting Odds for Stuttgart vs St. Pauli
First up, a table of the 1X2 odds:
Stuttgart: 1.5 (Unibet)
Draw: 4.6 (Bet Victor)
St. Pauli: 8.0 (Bet365)
On the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.61 with the market-makers at Unibet; the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.45 offered by Betfair Sportsbook.
On to the current prices for the BTTS market. "Yes" is available at 1.73 with William Hill. "No" can be taken at 2.2 with Betfair Sportsbook.
Head To Head
In the most recent match-up, Stuttgart played St. Pauli in 2017; it was a 2. Bundesliga clash. The winners were Stuttgart - winning with a score of 0-1.
Over the last ten years of results, these sides have faced-off 5 times. Stuttgart have emerged victorious in 5 of these match-ups and St. Pauli have won 0 matches. There have been no draws.
Over the course of these matches, there has been an average of 2.4 goals per fixture. Stuttgart score an average of 2.0; St. Pauli score an average of 0.4 each game.
In terms of the records on the road, whoever has been the visiting side has won 0% of these head-to-head match-ups. The home side has prevailed in 100% of these matches.
Right now Stuttgart have 4 points in the league. They are in 7th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 46 matches. They have 12 wins; 11 draws; and 23 losses. This gives Stuttgart a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 26%-23%-50%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.13 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.91.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 38% (8 wins). There have been 21 home fixtures. 23% (5) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 38% (8) resulting in a loss.
While playing at home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.43 and they have conceded 1.57 on average.
They've scored in the last 5. Basically given the market prices, Frog likes the stats for the home team. They have not tasted defeat in their last 4 matches.
Going in to this one, St. Pauli have 1 point in the league which puts them in 16th place.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 48 matches. They have 18 wins; 13 draws; and 17 losses. This gives St. Pauli a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 37%-27%-35%.
In these matches, they have averaged 1.5 goals for, and 1.54 goals against.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 33% (9 wins) from the most recent 27 away fixtures. 25% (7) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 40% (11) resulting in a loss when they are the away team.
When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.44 and they have conceded 1.59 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have scored a total of 17 goals in their last ten matches and 2 of these matches have been victories. Of these ten games, 8 of them have seen both sides score. There has been 7 matches with three goals or more.
And they are also on a run of 10 matches in a row in which they have scored.
Frog would be worried about betting on this team at the prices; Frog would need a bigger price than the sportsbooks are offering.
Frog's betting tip for Stuttgart vs St. Pauli
It's no secret that the market favours Stuttgart and that much is obvious. Frog expects them to win, and the odds of 1.5 provide decent value for fans of a short price favourite. Have a look at Ladbrokes for this one, if you don't mind the short-price. Here we have a team making it a habit of scoring.