Venados vs Universidad Guadalajara Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up on Saturday morning (UK time), in a Liga Ascenso match-up, Venados will be taking on Universidad Guadalajara at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero with a 1:00am start.
The game will not be broadcast live in the UK. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish real-time goal updates throughout the match.
Read on for full preview and match prediction.
The rest of the preview introduces the main stats and metrics in this fixture and describes Frog's logic behind the pick. Don't forget to check the Match Stats panel.
Betting Odds for Venados vs Universidad Guadalajara
Looking at the 1X2: Betway offer 2.15 about Venados, Bet Victor go 3.1 for the draw, Bet Victor are 3.3 about Universidad Guadalajara.
In the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.25 at Betway whereas the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.62 via 888sport.
Here we have the current prices for the BTTS market. "Yes" is available at 1.9 with Bet Victor. For those with the opposite view, "No" can be backed at 1.92 for account holders at 888sport.
Head To Head
In their most recent match-up, Venados played Universidad Guadalajara in March in a Liga Ascenso clash. The winners were Venados with a score of 1-0.
In the recent decade, these teams have gone head-to-head 8 times. Venados have run out winners in 2 of them and Universidad Guadalajara have won 3 times. The other 3 matches ended in a draw.
There has been an average of 2.0 goals each match. Venados have scored an average of 0.75 and Universidad Guadalajara score an average of 1.25 each game.
Looking specifically at the match-up on the road, whichever side has been away has won 37% of the matches between these sides. The home side has secured the win 25% of the time.
Venados have 4 points in the league, which puts them in 5th position.
Looking over the last year, they have played 35 matches. They have 9 wins; 11 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Venados a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 25%-31%-42%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.03 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.31.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 27% (5 wins). There have been 18 home fixtures. 33% (6) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 38% (7) being a loss for the home team.
When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.06. They have conceded 1.11 on average.
In their last ten matches, across all competitions, they have averaged 1.4 goals per match and in this time they have a win rate of 30%. The frequency of matches in which both Venados and their opposition have scored is 7 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from their last ten.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 7 matches.
In 9th place in Liga Ascenso with 3 points are Universidad Guadalajara.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 35 matches. They have 11 wins; 9 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Universidad Guadalajara a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 31%-25%-42%.
In this time, they have scored 1.34 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.4 goals on average.
A look at their away record in this time. They have a win rate of 16% (3 wins) in their 18 away fixtures. 22% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 61% (11) ending in a loss.
On average they have scored 0.78 times when away from home in this last year while they have conceded 1.56.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 6 goals in their last ten matches; 2 of these matches have been wins. Of these ten games, 3 of them have seen both sides score. The number of matches with a total of three goals or more is 2 games in these last ten outings.
Frog's betting tip for Venados vs Universidad Guadalajara
The verdict is in for this one. Given this match-up, we expect our followers will be looking to see more than two goals. To back the Over 2.5, take the over line at odds of 2.2 with 888sport. There is healthy value in this pick.