VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time) 17 August, VfB Lübeck will take on St. Pauli II at Stadion Lohmühle with a 1:00pm kick-off. This is a Regionalliga: Nord match-up.
At the time of writing there is no UK TV coverage for this match. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores throughout the game.
The following key findings explain the reasons for the tip in this match-up.
The stats have identified the opportunity of expected value in this game.
Betting Odds for VfB Lubeck vs St. Pauli II
Betway offer 1.29 about VfB Lubeck; Bet365 are best price 5.75 for the draw; Bet Victor go 9.5 about St. Pauli II.
On the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.5 via Bet365. The top price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.6 with Unibet.
Here we have the current odds for the BTTS market. "Yes" is available at 1.87 with Unibet. Or "No" can be taken at 1.9 at Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In the latest head-to-head, VfB Lübeck played St. Pauli II in March in a Regionalliga: Nord match. The winners on the day were VfB Lübeck - winning with a score of 0-3. A. Arslan scored three times for VfB Lübeck.
Over the last decade, these sides have played 15 times. VfB Lübeck have won in 9 of these, while their opponents, St. Pauli II have won once. There have been 5 draws.
In the observed matches, there has been an average of 2.73 goals per game. VfB Lübeck score an average of 2.0 and St. Pauli II have scored an average of 0.73.
Focussing on the Home and Away performance numbers, whichever side has been at home has won 60% of these matches and the visitors have got the win 6% of the time.
VfB Lübeck have 12 points in the league, which puts them in 1st position.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 36 matches. They have 25 wins; 6 draws; and 5 losses. This gives VfB Lübeck a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 69%-16%-13%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 2.17 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 0.78.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 73% (14 wins) from the latest 19 home fixtures. 21% (4) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 5% (1) being a loss.
On average they have scored 2.32 times when at home in this last year and they have conceded 0.79.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 24 goals in their last ten matches and 7 of these latest matches have been victories. The total number of times both VfB Lübeck and the other team have scored in these games is 5 out of the ten; the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 out of the last ten.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 6 matches.
St. Pauli II
At the moment, St. Pauli II have 4 points in Regionalliga: Nord, putting them in 12th place.
There has been 37 matches played by this side over the recent 12 months. They have 14 wins; 4 draws; and 19 losses. Therefore, St. Pauli II have won 37%, drawn 10%, and lost 51% of their recent matches.
Over this period, they have scored 1.35 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.41.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 21% (4 wins) from the latest 19 away fixtures. 21% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 57% (11) being a loss as the away side.
On average they have scored 1.05 times when playing away in this same period; they have conceded 1.53.
In their last ten matches they have scored 17 times - 3 of these matches have been wins for them. Regarding the BTTS count, 7 of these games are matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 games over this same period.
Frog's betting tip for VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II
This is looking like a match-up throughout which each side will threaten in front of goal, so "Yes" is the best bet for this fixture. Get involved with this one with the Bet365 sportsbook. They are offering 1.72 for "Yes" (BTTS). This particular tip comes with a good rating.