Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham City Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time), Birmingham City head to The Valley to challenge Charlton Athletic at 3:00pm in a Championship match-up.
This game will not be broadcast live in the UK. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores.
The following stats and analysis break down the logic for the tip in this match.
We have found evidence of positive expected value to be exploited for this match. Frog's analysis will break down where it lies.
Betting Odds for Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham City
Backers of the home team can get 2.3 about Charlton Athletic by visiting Bet365; supporters of the visitors will be offered 3.2 to back Birmingham City with Bet365. Bet365 are best price 3.3 for the draw.
Highlighting the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.18 via Unibet; the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.73 offered by Bet Victor.
And the available prices for the BTTS market. If you think both sides will score, "Yes" is currently available at 1.87 with Unibet. "No" is currently offered at 1.91 with William Hill.
Head To Head
Charlton Athletic played Birmingham City in 2016 in a Championship clash. The winners on the day were Charlton Athletic with a final score of 2-1.
In ten years, the sides have met 8 times. Charlton Athletic have won in 3 of them. Birmingham City have won 2 times. There have been 3 draws.
In their head-to-head, there has been an average of 1.75 goals per match. Charlton Athletic score an average of 0.88. Birmingham City have scored an average of 0.88.
The visiting side, at either ground, has won 25% of these encounters. The home side has prevailed in 37% of them.
Ahead of this one, Charlton Athletic have 14 points in the Championship. They are in 2nd place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 59 matches. They have 33 wins; 12 draws; and 14 losses. This gives Charlton Athletic a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 55%-20%-23%.
In these matches, they have averaged 1.75 goals for, and 0.93 goals against.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 62% (18 wins) from the most recent 29 home fixtures. 20% (6) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 17% (5) ending in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.72 times when at home in this same period; they have conceded 0.79.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 15 goals in their last ten matches - 5 of these matches have been wins for them. Of these ten games, 7 of them have seen both sides score and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 games over this same period.
They have scored in their last 4 matches.
In 9th place in Championship with 10 points are the visitors, Birmingham City.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 51 matches. They have 18 wins; 16 draws; and 17 losses. This gives Birmingham City a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 35%-31%-33%.
During this recent year, they average 1.35 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.49.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 33% (9 wins) from 27 away fixtures. 25% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 40% (11) being a loss as the away side.
When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.3 and they have conceded 1.78 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have a total of 9 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 40%. The total number of times both Birmingham City and the other team have scored in these games is 4 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from their last ten.
Frog's betting tip for Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham City
Frog will be looking for a stalemate when Charlton Athletic and Birmingham City kick-off for this fixture. This is top priced with William Hill at odds of 3.4. Frog thinks the strongest argument for this one is the draw.