Salford City vs Cheltenham Town Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time) 14 September, Salford City will take on Cheltenham Town at The Peninsula Stadium with a 3:00pm kick-off. This is a League Two match-up.
This game will not be broadcast live in the UK. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores throughout the match.
The following stats and analysis explain the reasons for the prediction in this match.
We have found evidence of positive expected value to be exploited for this one. Frog's analysis will break down where it lies.
Betting Odds for Salford City vs Cheltenham Town
To summarise the 1X2 odds:
Salford City: 2.1 (Ladbrokes)
Draw: 3.75 (Bet365)
Cheltenham Town: 3.7 (Bet365)
Highlights in the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.0 at Bet Victor and the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.87 using Coral.
Next up, the best odds for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is available at 1.8 with William Hill. For those with the opposite view, "No" is currently offered at 2.05 for account holders at Betfair Sportsbook.
Head To Head
FTG databases have returned no head-to-head contests for these two teams over the last decade.
Salford City have 8 points in League Two, putting them in 15th place.
Looking over the last year, they have played 55 matches. They have 26 wins; 15 draws; and 14 losses. This gives Salford City a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 47%-27%-25%.
Over this period, they have scored 1.62 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.13.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 48% (14 wins) from the most recent 29 home fixtures. 27% (8) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 24% (7) ending in a loss for the home team.
On average they have scored 1.66 goals when at home in this same period and they have conceded 1.03.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 13 goals in their last ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 20%. The total number of times both Salford City and the other team have scored in these games is 6 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 from these ten.
And they have scored in their last 6 matches.
Cheltenham Town have 11 points in the league, which puts them in 6th place.
There is a total of 59 matches played by them over the course of the last year. They have 19 wins; 17 draws; and 23 losses. To summarise, Cheltenham Town have a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 32%-28%-38%, in recent form.
Over this period, they have scored 1.36 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.54.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 10% (3 wins) from the latest 28 away fixtures. 21% (6) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 67% (19) being a loss as the away side.
On average they have scored 0.71 goals when away from home in this period while they have conceded 1.93.
Their recent performance data shows that they have 14 goals in their last ten matches; 3 of these matches have been wins. The total number of times that Cheltenham Town and whoever they've played have also scored is 4 matches in those ten. There have been 5 matches with three goals or more.
Frog's betting tip for Salford City vs Cheltenham Town
Several factors are pointing to a stalemate when these sides play for this fixture. The draw is best priced with William Hill at odds of 3.5. Followers will be getting the value with this one.