Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC Match Preview and Prediction
On Sunday morning (UK time), Los Angeles FC go to Talen Energy Stadium to lock horns with Philadelphia Union at 12:30am in a Major League Soccer game.
It will be televised by Premier Sports 2 in the UK.
The following sections detail the logic for the prediction in this match.
Evidently, the sportsbooks have done a good set of prices on this match. Recreational stakes only for this one.
Betting Odds for Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC
In the 1X2: Bet365 are 2.75 about Philadelphia Union, Betfair Sportsbook are 4.0 for the draw and Ladbrokes offer 2.5 about Los Angeles FC. These are the best prices.
On the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.36 with Ladbrokes while the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 3.4 with Bet365.
Frog has also looked at the best odds for the Both Teams To Score market. "Yes" is currently available at 1.36 with William Hill. "No", both teams won't score, can be backed at 3.8 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
Philadelphia Union played Los Angeles FC in 2018; it was a Major League Soccer game. The winners after 90 minutes were Los Angeles FC - with a winning margin of 4-1. And A. Diomande scored three times.
Note that this was the first match between these two sides in the ten years of data analysed.
Philadelphia Union have 49 points in Major League Soccer, putting them in 3rd position.
There has been 42 matches played by them over the recent 12 months. They have 23 wins; 6 draws; and 13 losses. These recent results put Philadelphia Union on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 54%-14%-30%.
In this period, they have an average of 1.81 goals for, and 1.43 goals against.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 75% (15 wins) in their 20 home fixtures. 5% (1) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 20% (4) resulting in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 2.35 goals when at home in this last year. They have conceded 1.15.
In their last ten matches they have scored 20 goals; they have won 6 of these matches. The frequency of matches in which both Philadelphia Union and their opposition have scored is 6 out of the ten. There has been 8 matches with a combined goal total of three or more.
Los Angeles FC
In 1st place in Major League Soccer with 63 points are Los Angeles FC.
Looking over the last year, they have played 45 matches. They have 26 wins; 9 draws; and 10 losses. This gives Los Angeles FC a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 57%-20%-22%.
In this period, they have an average of 2.38 goals for, and 1.27 goals against.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 47% (11 wins) from their last 23 away fixtures. 21% (5) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (7) being a loss as the away side.
While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 2.09 and they have conceded 1.26 on average.
Their recent performance, across all formats, shows that they have a total of 26 goals in their last ten matches and 6 of these matches have been victories. Of those ten matches, 6 of them have seen both sides score. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from these ten.
Frog's betting tip for Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles FC
The odds compilers make it odds-on that both sides will score in this match, and Frog thinks that they've got this one right. This does not represent particularly great value. Given the quality of the pricing in the market for this match, Frog is picking it with a reduced level of confidence... Nevertheless, you can get a price of 1.4 on the Yes (BTTS) with William Hill.