St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV Match Preview and Prediction
Looking ahead to Monday evening (UK time), St. Pauli will be up against Hamburger SV at Millerntor-Stadion with a 7:30pm kick-off. This is a 2 Bundesliga match.
See the drama unfold live on BT Sport 3.
Read on for preview and match prediction.
Frog The Gambler takes responsible gambling very seriously. Followers are encouraged to stake for recreation. The tip outlined here is given after reviewing all opportunities but please do your own additional research prior to betting. Read on for Frog's thoughts.
Betting Odds for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV
Betfair Sportsbook are 4.5 about St. Pauli; Bet365 offer 4.0 for the draw; Bet Victor are 1.8 about Hamburger SV.
Turning to the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.67 on the trading floor at William Hill and the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.2 if you like the look of the price at Bet Victor.
And here are the current prices for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is available at 1.66 with Bet365. "No", both teams won't score, can be backed at 2.3 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
Looking at the data, we see that St. Pauli played Hamburger SV in March in a 2. Bundesliga match. The winners after 90 minutes were Hamburger SV securing a final score of 0-4. And P. Lasogga scored two times for Hamburger SV.
In the last decade of FTG data, the two sides have clashed 4 times. St. Pauli have emerged victorious in 1 of these head-to-head matches, while their opponents, Hamburger SV have won 1 of them. A stalemate has occurred 2 times.
When these sides meet, there has been an average of 1.75 goals. St. Pauli have scored an average of 0.5 and their opponents, Hamburger SV score an average of 1.25.
Specifically looking at home ground performance, whichever side has been home has won 25% of the time. The away side has won 25% of the time.
In 14th place in 2 Bundesliga with 5 points we have the home team, St. Pauli.
There is a total of 47 matches played by them in the last year. They have 18 wins; 13 draws; and 16 losses. Therefore, St. Pauli have won 38%, drawn 27%, and lost 34% of their recent matches.
In this period, they have an average of 1.51 goals for, and 1.47 goals against.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 47% (10 wins). There have been 21 home fixtures. 28% (6) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 23% (5) resulting in a loss.
On average they have scored 1.52 goals when at home in this period. They have conceded 1.29.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 19 goals in their last ten matches - 2 of these matches have been wins for them. The total number of times both St. Pauli and the opposition have scored is 9 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 8 from these ten.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 13 matches.
Hamburger SV have 13 points in 2 Bundesliga, putting them in 1st place.
There have been 46 matches played by the away team in the last year. They have 24 wins; 11 draws; and 11 losses. This recent form puts Hamburger SV on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 52%-23%-23%.
In this time, they have scored 1.78 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.22 goals on average.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 54% (12 wins) in their 22 away fixtures. 22% (5) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 22% (5) resulting in a loss as the away side.
When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 2.23. They have conceded 1.14 on average.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 34 goals in their last ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 60%. The total number of times both Hamburger SV and the other team have scored in these games is 6 out of the ten. There has been 8 matches with over 2.5 goals.
And they have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
Frog's betting tip for St. Pauli vs Hamburger SV
Frog doesn't think either side will finish this one with a clean sheet, so the pick is "Yes" in the BTTS market. This does not represent massive value, but it is the best bet given the quality of the prices available in the market. If you like the pick you can get stuck in with Bet365 who are offering 1.66 for "Yes" in the BTTS market.