Chelsea vs Valencia Match Preview and Prediction
This is a Champions League encounter on Tuesday evening (UK time). Chelsea will play Valencia at Stamford Bridge with a 8:00pm kick-off.
The game will be broadcast live on BT Sport 3 and BT Sport Extra.
The following sections explain the reasoning for the selection in this match.
All the signals point to the existence of positive value when these two sides meet. Frog breaks it down in this preview.
Betting Odds for Chelsea vs Valencia
First up, a table of the 1X2 market:
Chelsea: 1.83 (Bet365)
Draw: 3.75 (Betfair Sportsbook)
Valencia: 4.6 (Betfair Sportsbook)
Focussing on the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.0 with William Hill. The best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.92 with the prices at Unibet.
Here we have the best prices for the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 1.85 with William Hill. If you have the opposite view, "No" is available at 2.05 for account holders at Bet Victor.
Head To Head
To get things started in this preview, we look at the most recent result. Chelsea played Valencia in 2011 in a Champions League match. The winners were Chelsea securing a score of 3-0.
In the last decade of FTG data, the two sides have played 2 times. Chelsea have won in 1 of these. Their opponents, Valencia have won none of them. A stalemate has occurred once.
In this head-to-head, there has been an average of 2.5 goals per game. Chelsea have scored an average of 2.0 and their opponents, Valencia score an average of 0.5 each time they've met.
Chelsea have played 69 times in the last 12-months. They have 40 wins; 18 draws; and 11 losses. This gives them a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 57%-26%-15%.
In this period, they have an average of 1.86 goals for, and 1.07 goals against.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 62% (20 wins). There have been 32 home fixtures. 31% (10) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 6% (2) being a loss.
On average they have scored 2.0 times when at home in this period; they have conceded 0.72.
In their last ten matches, across all competitions, they have averaged 2.5 goals per match; they have won 5 of these matches. In terms of the BTTS, 9 of these games have been matches where both teams have scored; and there has been 8 matches with over 2.5 goals.
They have scored in their last 5 matches.
Valencia have played 65 times in the last 12-months. They have 31 wins; 19 draws; and 15 losses. This gives them a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 47%-29%-23%.
In this period, they have an average of 1.45 goals for, and 1.02 goals against.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 41% (14 wins) from the most recent 34 away fixtures. 26% (9) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 32% (11) resulting in a loss.
Their away scoring record for this period shows that their average number of goals scored is 1.38 and they have conceded 1.26 on average.
Their recent performance, in league or cup football, shows that they have a total of 15 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 50%. Of those ten matches, 7 of them have seen both sides score and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 games over this same period.
Frog's betting tip for Chelsea vs Valencia
Frog thinks that this prediction reeks of value.
With limited action to be had in the other markets, the pick for this one is on the number of goals in the match. In this game, followers can expect to see something of a goal drought. For backers of the Under 2.5, Unibet make it a 1.92 shot.