Coventry City vs AFC Wimbledon Match Preview and Prediction
This is a League One clash on Tuesday evening (UK time). Coventry City will play AFC Wimbledon at Ricoh Arena with a 7:45pm start.
The fixture has no official UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores throughout the match.
Keep reading for the preview and match prediction.
The content of the preview explains the main stats in this fixture and finalises Frog's logic underpinning the value. Frog's in-depth analysis follows.
Betting Odds for Coventry City vs AFC Wimbledon
Coventry City are 1.73 with Bet Victor. The draw is available at 3.8 with Bet365, and AFC Wimbledon are 5.5 with Bet365.
On the O/U 2.5 Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.1 via Betfair Sportsbook. If you don't like that, the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.8 using Bet365.
And the current bets for the BTTS market. "Yes" is available at 2.0 with Betfair Sportsbook. "No" can be backed at 1.87 with Coral.
Head To Head
Coventry City played AFC Wimbledon in January in a League One match. The result was a 1-1 draw.
In ten years, the sides have faced-off 5 times. Coventry City have run out winners in 1 of them. And AFC Wimbledon have won 0 matches. There have been 4 draws.
In their matches to date, there has been an average of 2.4 goals each match. Coventry City score an average of 1.4; AFC Wimbledon score an average of 1.0 each time they've met.
The visiting side, at either ground, has won 0% of these encounters. The home side has prevailed in 20% of them.
In 1st place in League One with 16 points is the home team.
Looking over the last year, they have played 56 matches. They have 22 wins; 17 draws; and 17 losses. This gives Coventry City a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 39%-30%-30%.
In this time, they have scored 1.34 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.2 goals on average.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 44% (12 wins) from the latest 27 home fixtures. 37% (10) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 18% (5) resulting in a loss for the home team.
While playing at home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.26. They have conceded 0.81 on average.
Notably, they are unbeaten in their last 4 outings.
As we look ahead to this one, AFC Wimbledon have 3 points in the League One. They are in 21st place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 63 matches. They have 18 wins; 14 draws; and 31 losses. This gives AFC Wimbledon a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 28%-22%-49%.
During this recent year, they average 1.16 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.46.
Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 32% (10 wins). There have been 31 away fixtures. 16% (5) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 51% (16) being a loss as the away side.
When the visiting side in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.16 and they have conceded 1.39 on average.
In recent form, they have a total of 9 goals in their last ten matches - none of these matches have been wins for them. The total number of times both AFC Wimbledon and the opposition have scored is 8 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 from their last ten.
In summary, Frog would be worried about betting on this team in this game. Frog needs a bigger price than this.
Frog's betting tip for Coventry City vs AFC Wimbledon
The market likes Coventry City and rightly so. FTG models expect them to win and the odds of 1.73 look like decent value to get excited about. Bet Victor for this one, if you like the sound of this bet.