Crawley Town vs Plymouth Argyle Match Preview and Prediction
On Tuesday evening (UK time), Crawley Town will take on Plymouth Argyle at The People's Pension Stadium with a 7:45pm start time. This is a League Two match.
This fixture will not be broadcast live in the UK. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish real-time goal updates throughout the match.
The following stats break down the evidence for the tip in this match.
Hats-off to the sportsbooks in this one: Frog thinks that the latest odds are pretty good for this game.
Betting Odds for Crawley Town vs Plymouth Argyle
At time of writing, Crawley Town can be backed at 2.75 with Ladbrokes. The draw is 3.6 with Betway and Plymouth Argyle are currently 2.62 with Bet365.
In the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.86 via Betfair Sportsbook. The most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.0 with Bet365.
And here are the best bets for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is available at 1.7 with William Hill. If you don't like that, "No" is currently available at 2.2 with Ladbrokes.
Head To Head
Crawley Town played Plymouth Argyle in 2017; it was a League Two match. The winners after 90 minutes were Plymouth Argyle securing a score of 1-2.
In the recent decade, these teams have played 6 times. Crawley Town have won in 1 of these head-to-head matches, while their opponents, Plymouth Argyle have won 3 times. There have been 2 draws.
In their matches to date, there has been an average of 2.33 goals. Crawley Town score an average of 1.0. Plymouth Argyle have scored an average of 1.33 per outing.
Looking at the match-up in terms of combined Home and Away performance, whichever side has been at home has won 16% of these matches and the visitors have won 50% of the time.
In 8th place in League Two with 14 points we have the home team, Crawley Town.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 57 matches. They have 17 wins; 11 draws; and 29 losses. This gives Crawley Town a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 29%-19%-50%.
During this recent year, they average 1.12 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.49.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 41% (12 wins) from their last 29 home fixtures. 17% (5) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 41% (12) being a loss.
While playing at home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.28 and they have conceded 1.21 on average.
Frog is not going to look beyond a home team win given the odds available. Obviously we need to determine if their price represents any decent value.
Plymouth Argyle have 11 points in League Two, putting them in 11th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 57 matches. They have 18 wins; 11 draws; and 28 losses. This gives Plymouth Argyle a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 31%-19%-49%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.26 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.7.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 19% (5 wins) in their 26 away fixtures. 15% (4) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 65% (17) being a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 0.92 goals when away from home in this last year while they have conceded 1.81.
Their recent performance, across all formats, shows that they have a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches and 3 of these matches have been victories. Of these ten games, 5 of them have seen both sides score. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 from their last ten.
If you're a fan of this side you could be mislead here. You might be looking to find some Plymouth Argyle stats and get a false sense of confidence about their chances for success here. However, Frog would suggest the value is not with this side in this particular match-up.
Frog's betting tip for Crawley Town vs Plymouth Argyle
Probably not the best bet of the day, but if you'd like an involvement in this one, why not go with Crawley Town to win - available at 2.75 with Ladbrokes.