Exeter City vs Port Vale Match Preview and Prediction
On Tuesday evening (UK time), Port Vale head to St. James' Park to play Exeter City at 7:45pm. This is a League Two match.
This match has no UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish updates during the match.
The following stats and analysis detail the reasoning for the prediction in this match.
The narrative of the preview explains the key stats, and summarises Frog's rationale behind the pick. Frog will break it down below.
Betting Odds for Exeter City vs Port Vale
Looking at the Match Odds, Ladbrokes will give you 2.15 about Exeter City, Bet365 will give you 3.4 for the draw, Unibet are offering 3.8 about Port Vale.
Highlights in the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.2 via Coral. If you don't like that, the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.72 via Unibet.
And the odds for the BTTS market. If you think both sides will score, "Yes" is available at 1.91 with Ladbrokes. If you don't like that, "No" is currently available at 1.9 with Betfair Sportsbook.
Head To Head
Exeter City played Port Vale in April, in what was a League Two clash. The winners were Exeter City - winning with a final score of 2-0.
During the last decade of action, these teams have met 7 times. Exeter City have run out winners in 4 of them, while Port Vale have won 2 of these occasions. The remaining 1 match resulted in a draw.
When these sides have met, there has been an average of 1.71 goals. Exeter City have scored an average of 1.14 and their opponents, Port Vale score an average of 0.57 per match.
Looking at the match-up on the road, whichever side has been away has won 28% of these encounters. The home side has won 57% of the time.
Going in to this one, Exeter City have 18 points in the league, putting them in 1st position.
There have been 58 matches played by them over the course of the last year. They have 26 wins; 17 draws; and 15 losses. This recent form puts Exeter City on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 44%-29%-25%.
During this recent year, they average 1.29 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.02.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 51% (15 wins) in their 29 home fixtures. 13% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 34% (10) ending in a loss for the home side.
When on home turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.31 and they have conceded 1.03 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have scored a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 60%. The total number of times both Exeter City and the opposition have scored is 5 out of the ten. There have been 4 matches with a combined goal total of three or more.
They have scored in their last 5 matches.
Port Vale have 12 points in The League Two. They are in 10th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 59 matches. They have 19 wins; 16 draws; and 24 losses. This gives Port Vale a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 32%-27%-40%.
In these matches, they have averaged 0.98 goals for, and 1.24 goals against.
Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 26% (7 wins) in their 26 away fixtures. 42% (11) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (8) ending in a loss as the away side.
When the visiting side in this time, their average number of goals scored is 0.81. They have conceded 1.0 on average.
In their last ten matches they have scored 12 times and this has led to their current win rate of 40%. The total number of times both Port Vale and the opposition have scored is 7 out of the ten; the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 in the last ten.
Frog's betting tip for Exeter City vs Port Vale
Plenty of observers are pointing to a stalemate when these sides meet for this fixture. This is best priced with Bet365 at odds of 3.4. Frog is backing the draw and feels pretty bullish about it.