Napoli vs Liverpool Match Preview and Prediction
This is a Champions League game on Tuesday evening (UK time). Napoli will play Liverpool with a 8:00pm kick-off.
BT Sport 2 and BT Sport Extra will broadcast this one in the UK.
The following stats detail the reasons for the prediction in this match.
The details to follow will justify where the value is in this match.
Betting Odds for Napoli vs Liverpool
Betfair Sportsbook are offering 3.1 about Napoli; Bet Victor will give you 3.6 for the draw; Bet365 are best price 2.3 about Liverpool.
If you're interested in the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.72 via Bet365; the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.25 with Betfair Sportsbook.
The available prices for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 1.6 with William Hill. "No" is available at 2.55 for the customers of Bet Victor.
Head To Head
Frog's records show that Napoli played Liverpool in July. It was a Club Friendlies match. The winners after 90 minutes were Napoli - with a final score of 0-3.
In the recent decade, these teams have met 6 times. Napoli have won in 2 of these head-to-head matches. And Liverpool have won 3 times. A stalemate has occurred once.
When these sides meet, there has been an average of 2.33 goals. Napoli score an average of 0.83; Liverpool score an average of 1.5 per match.
Reviewing the home ground performance in this match-up, whichever side has been home has won 33% of the matches between them. The visiting side has won 50% in this head-to-head record.
There have been 56 matches played by Napoli over the recent 12 months. They have 31 wins; 10 draws; and 15 losses. This gives them a recent form Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 55%-17%-26%.
During this recent year, they average 1.8 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.05.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 62% (17 wins) from their last 27 home fixtures. 18% (5) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 18% (5) being a loss.
On average they have scored 1.93 times when at home in this last year; they have conceded 0.85.
In recent form, they have a total of 21 goals in their last ten matches; they have won 5 of these matches. There have been 6 occasions when both Napoli and their opponents have scored; and there have been 8 matches with three goals or more.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 3 matches.
There is a total of 62 matches played by Liverpool in the last year. They have 41 wins; 11 draws; and 10 losses. This gives them a recent form Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 66%-17%-16%.
In this time, they have scored 2.23 goals on average per match; while conceding 0.87 goals on average.
A look at their away record in this time. They have a win rate of 60% (17 wins) from the latest 28 away fixtures. 17% (5) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 21% (6) being a loss when they are the away team.
When the visiting side in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.89 and they have conceded 0.86 on average.
They are averaging 2.2 goals per game in their most recent ten matches - 6 of these matches have been wins for them. The total number of times both Liverpool and the other team have scored in these games is 8 out of the ten and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 8 from the last ten.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 8 matches.
Frog's betting tip for Napoli vs Liverpool
Going against the heavily favoured view, Frog is making a case for getting with the No in the Both Teams To Score market. Given the odds-against prices available, that is the pick. No such thing as a guarantee in this sport, but Frog likes the value in this one.If you do like the pick, you can get involved at 2.55 with the Bet Victor BTTS market.