Rochdale vs Lincoln City Match Preview and Prediction
This coming Tuesday evening (UK time), Rochdale will host Lincoln City at Crown Oil Arena with a 7:45pm start. This is a League One match.
This game will not be broadcast live in the UK. Check Frog The Gambler's live score page for goal updates during the game.
Keep reading for the preview and match prediction.
The detail in the preview introduces the main stats, and describes Frog's logic underpinning the prediction. Read on for Frog's thoughts.
Betting Odds for Rochdale vs Lincoln City
The 1X2, Unibet will give you 3.2 about Rochdale, Bet365 are 3.5 for the draw, Coral are offering 2.3 about Lincoln City. These are among the top prices in the market.
For the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.86 on the trading floor at Betfair Sportsbook while the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.95 with Bet365.
Here we have the best odds for the Both Teams To Score market. "Yes" is available at 1.7 with Bet365. "No" is currently available at 2.2 with Betfair Sportsbook.
Head To Head
Followers will likely know that Rochdale played Lincoln City in 2018, in what was a EFL Trophy match. The winners after 90 minutes were Lincoln City by a final score of 0-1.
Looking back over the last decade, these two sides have met 3 times. Rochdale have emerged victorious in 1 of these head-to-head matches, while their opponents, Lincoln City have won 1 match. A stalemate has occurred once.
There has been an average of 2.33 goals. Rochdale score an average of 1.33; Lincoln City have scored an average of 1.0 per match.
Specifically looking at home ground performance, whichever side has been home has won 33% of the time. The away side has won 33% of the time.
Rochdale have 9 points in The League One. They are in 16th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 58 matches. They have 20 wins; 11 draws; and 27 losses. This gives Rochdale a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 34%-18%-46%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.21 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.79.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 34% (11 wins) from 32 home fixtures. 21% (7) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 43% (14) being a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.19 goals when at home in this same period. They have conceded 1.47.
In their last ten matches they have averaged 1.5 goals per match and in this time they have a win rate of 40%. In terms of the BTTS, 5 of these games have been matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 from the last ten.
Lincoln City have 12 points in the league, which puts them in 7th place.
There is a total of 59 matches played by them in the last year. They have 24 wins; 19 draws; and 16 losses. Therefore, Lincoln City have won 40%, drawn 32%, and lost 27% of their recent matches.
Over this period, they have scored 1.49 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.17.
A look at their away record in this time. They have a win rate of 37% (11 wins) from their last 29 away fixtures. 24% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 37% (11) being a loss.
While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.45. They have conceded 1.21 on average.
In recent form, they have a total of 15 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 40%. Of those ten matches, 5 of them have seen both sides score. There has been 6 matches with three goals or more.
Frog's betting tip for Rochdale vs Lincoln City
Everything points to a stalemate when these teams play in this fixture. This is best priced with Bet365 at odds of 3.5. Weighing up the price versus the probability, there is some value in this pick.