Stevenage vs Northampton Town Match Preview and Prediction
The Lamex Stadium will see Stevenage welcome Northampton Town on Tuesday 17 September, for a League Two fixture. The kick-off time is 7:45pm (UK).
There is no official UK TV coverage for this match. Check Frog The Gambler's live score page for real-time updates throughout the match.
Read on for full preview and match prediction.
The narrative of the preview explains the key stats and analytics in this fixture and summarises Frog's thinking underpinning the prediction. Check the Match Stats panel for further insights.
Betting Odds for Stevenage vs Northampton Town
In the 1X2: Unibet go 2.75 about Stevenage, Bet365 go 3.3 for the draw, Ladbrokes are offering 2.62 about Northampton Town.
On to the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.1 with Betfair Sportsbook and the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.75 using Bet365.
Frog has also looked at the prices for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is available at 1.83 with Bet365. If you don't like that, "No" is currently available at 2.0 with Ladbrokes.
Head To Head
To get things started in this preview, we look at the most recent result. Stevenage played Northampton Town in February, in what was a League Two game. The winners at the final whistle were Northampton Town with a final score of 1-2.
Over the last ten years, the two teams have faced-off 8 times. Stevenage have won in 1 of the matches in this period. Northampton Town have won 6 times. There has been 1 draw.
In these matches, there has been an average of 2.5 goals per match. Stevenage have scored an average of 0.88 and their opponents, Northampton Town have scored an average of 1.63.
Looking at the match-up in terms of Home and Away performance, whichever side has been at home has won 12% of these games and their visitors have won 75% of the time.
In 24th place in League Two with 3 points we have the home team.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 58 matches. They have 20 wins; 12 draws; and 26 losses. This gives Stevenage a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 34%-20%-44%.
Over this period, they have scored 1.09 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.4.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 35% (10 wins) in their 28 home fixtures. 14% (4) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 50% (14) being a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.07 goals when at home in this same period; they have conceded 1.5.
They are averaging 0.7 goals per game in their most recent ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 0%. The total number of times that Stevenage and whoever they've played have also scored is 4 matches in those ten and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 games over this same period.
Northampton Town have 10 points in The League Two, which puts them in 14th place.
There is a total of 59 matches played by this side in the last year. They have 19 wins; 20 draws; and 20 losses. Therefore, Northampton Town have won 32%, drawn 33%, and lost 33% of their recent matches.
Over this period, they have scored 1.32 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.36.
A look at their away record in this time. They have a win rate of 27% (8 wins). There have been 29 away fixtures. 31% (9) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 41% (12) being a loss.
On average they have scored 1.38 goals when away in this period and they have conceded 1.52.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 11 goals in their last ten matches; 3 of these matches have been wins. Of those ten matches, 6 of them have seen both sides score. The number of matches with three match goals or more is 4 games in these last ten outings.
Frog's betting tip for Stevenage vs Northampton Town
Having reviewed data that makes a case for any result in this one, Frog sees it as a match-up in which both Stevenage and Northampton Town will have have opportunities to score. Therefore "Yes" is the play in this fixture. Odds of 1.83 are available with Bet365 in their BTTS market. Frog believes there is some healthy value in this pick.