Swindon Town vs Colchester United Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up on Tuesday evening (UK time), in a League Two match-up, Swindon Town will play Colchester United at The Energy Check County Ground with a 7:45pm start.
The game has no official UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores.
Read on for full preview, match prediction and recommended bet.
FTG projections are very close to the market prices so this tip is given with caution.
Betting Odds for Swindon Town vs Colchester United
To summarise the match winner market:
Swindon Town: 1.95 (William Hill)
Draw: 3.6 (Betfair Sportsbook)
Colchester United: 4.33 (Bet365)
With the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.0 on the trading floor at Bet365 whereas the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.89 with Unibet.
Frog has also reviewed the current prices for the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market. If you think both teams will score, "Yes" is currently available at 1.8 with Bet365 or "No" can be taken at 2.04 for account holders at Unibet.
Head To Head
To start, Frog highlights that Swindon Town played Colchester United in August for a Carabao Cup match. The winners on the day were Colchester United by a final score of 3-0.
During the last decade of action, these teams have met a total of 17 times. Swindon Town have won in 6 of these match-ups. Colchester United have won 7 matches. There have been 4 draws.
In the observed matches, there has been an average of 2.41 goals per game. Swindon Town score an average of 1.18 and Colchester United have scored an average of 1.24.
In terms of home advantage in this match-up, whichever team has been at their home ground has won 35% of the time. The visiting side has won 41% of the matches in this head-to-head.
Swindon Town have 17 points in the League Two and they are currently in 2nd place.
There is a total of 56 matches played by this side in the last year. They have 24 wins; 15 draws; and 17 losses. These recent results put Swindon Town on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 42%-26%-30%.
During this recent year, they average 1.59 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.09.
When at home, in this period, they have a win rate of 39% (11 wins) from their last 28 home fixtures. 28% (8) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 32% (9) being a loss for the home team.
On average they have scored 1.5 goals when at home in this period. They have conceded 1.11.
Their recent performance, in league or cup football, shows that they have a total of 19 goals in their last ten matches and 5 of these latest matches have been victories. Of those ten matches, 6 of them have seen both sides score. There have been 7 matches with a combined goal total of three or more.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 4 matches.
After reviewing this game, Frog has identified a number of signs that suggest the value is probably not with the home team. Frog would need a bigger price to back Swindon Town against Colchester United here.
The away team has 9 points in the League Two and they are currently in 17th position.
There have been 57 matches played by this side over the recent 12 months. They have 23 wins; 12 draws; and 22 losses. These recent results put Colchester United on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 40%-21%-38%.
In these matches, they have averaged 1.23 goals for, and 1.21 goals against.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 36% (11 wins) in their 30 away fixtures. 20% (6) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 43% (13) being a loss.
On average they have scored 1.13 times when away in this last year while they have conceded 1.27.
In this particular match up, Frog likes these numbers on Colchester United given the odds available.
Frog's betting tip for Swindon Town vs Colchester United
Which of these sides is taking home the bragging rights when push comes to shove? Our play is Colchester United to win this at odds of 4.33 with Bet365.