Pau vs Bordeaux Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up on Thursday evening (UK time), in a Coupe de France fixture, Pau will take on Bordeaux at Stade du Hameau with a 7:55pm start.
This match has no official UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish goal updates throughout the game.
The following stats detail the evidence for the tip in this game.
The key signals have identified the existence of value when these two sides meet. Frog breaks it down in this preview.
Betting Odds for Pau vs Bordeaux
Fans of the home team can get 5.25 about Pau using Unibet; and backers of the away team are offered 1.75 about Bordeaux with Betway. Betway are best price 3.6 for the draw.
In the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.15 with Coral while the best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.7 via Bet365.
Frog has also assessed the latest odds for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it can be backed at 2.05 with Coral. If you don't like that, "No" can be taken at 1.75 with Coral.
Head To Head
To get things started in this preview, we look at the most recent result. Pau played Bordeaux in 2016 in a Club Friendlies fixture. The winners after 90 minutes were Bordeaux with a margin of 1-0.
Note that this was the first match between these two sides in the ten years of data analysed.
Looking over the last year, Pau have played 37 matches. They have 19 wins; 10 draws; and 8 losses. These results give them a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 51%-27%-21%.
In this period, they have an average of 1.59 goals for, and 1.0 goals against.
When at home, in this period, they have a win rate of 60% (12 wins) from their last 20 home fixtures. 20% (4) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 20% (4) being a loss for the home team.
When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 2.0 and they have conceded 1.0 on average.
Their recent performance, both home and away, shows that they have a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches; they have won 5 of these matches. In terms of the BTTS, 5 of these games have been matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from the last ten.
In their recent form over the last year, Bordeaux have played 49 matches. They have 14 wins; 9 draws; and 26 losses. This gives them a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 28%-18%-53%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.12 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.29.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 20% (5 wins) from the most recent 25 away fixtures. 20% (5) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 60% (15) resulting in a loss.
On average they have scored 0.88 times when playing away in this same period and they have conceded 1.48.
Across all competitions, their recent performance data shows that they have scored 14 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 30%. Of those ten matches, 5 of them have seen both sides score. The number of matches with three match goals or more is 4 games in these last ten outings.
Frog's betting tip for Pau vs Bordeaux
Frog cannot make a good argument for taking on the match odds for this fixture, but there is a value play in the goal lines. Here followers can expect to get no more than two goals. For followers looking to get with the Under 2.5, Bet365 make it a 1.7 shot. This particular tip has been flagged as having positive expected value.