Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München Match Preview and Prediction
On Tuesday afternoon (UK time) 26 May, Borussia Dortmund will take on Bayern München at Signal-Iduna-Park with a 5:30pm kick-off. This is a Bundesliga match.
BT Sport 1 will broadcast this one in the UK.
The following stats and analysis break down the logic for the prediction in this match-up.
The key signals have identified the existence of positive value in this game.
Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund can be backed at 3.6 with Betway; the draw is available at 4.0 with Bet Victor and Bayern München are 2.0 with Ladbrokes.
On to the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.4 with William Hill and the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 3.2 via Bet365.
Here are the current odds for the BTTS offerings. If you like "Yes", it is available at 1.38 with Betway. Or "No" can be taken at 3.3 for the customers of Bet Victor.
Head To Head
Borussia Dortmund played Bayern München in November. It was a Bundesliga fixture. The winners after 90 minutes were Bayern München securing a score of 4-0. And R. Lewandowski scored twice for the away side.
In the last decade of FTG data, the two sides have met 33 times. Borussia Dortmund have won in 12 of them. Bayern München have won 14 matches. The remaining 7 matches resulted in a draw.
In the observed matches, there has been an average of 2.97 goals. Borussia Dortmund have scored an average of 1.27 and Bayern München have scored an average of 1.7.
Specifically looking at home ground performance, whichever side has been home has won 36% of the time. The away side has won 42% of the time.
Borussia Dortmund have 50 points in Bundesliga. They are in 3rd position.
There has been 45 matches played by this side in the last year. They have 29 wins; 7 draws; and 9 losses. This recent form puts Borussia Dortmund on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 64%-15%-20%.
During this recent year, they average 2.47 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.22.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 75% (15 wins) from the most recent 20 home fixtures. 20% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 5% (1) ending in a loss for the home team.
On average they have scored 2.8 goals when playing at home in this last year; they have conceded 0.9.
Their recent performance, in league or cup football, shows that they have a total of 26 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 70%. The total number of times both Borussia Dortmund and the opposition have scored is 5 out of the ten... The number of matches with three match goals or more is 7 games in these last ten outings.
Bayern München have 55 points in the league, which puts them in 1st place.
There has been 45 matches played by the away team in the last year. They have 32 wins; 6 draws; and 7 losses. In other words, Bayern München have won 71%, drawn 13%, and lost 15% of their recent matches.
Over this 12-month period, they average 2.87 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.11.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 64% (16 wins) in their 25 away fixtures. 16% (4) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 20% (5) being a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 2.76 goals when away from home in this period; they have conceded 1.32.
In their last ten matches they have averaged 3.1 goals per match and 9 of these matches have been victories. There have been 4 occasions when both Bayern München and their opponents have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from the last ten.
Bayern München have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches. They have scored in their last 6 matches.
Frog's betting tip for Borussia Dortmund vs Bayern München
While it is an odds-against selection with the sportsbooks, Frog can see a scenario where there is only one scoring side when Borussia Dortmund and Bayern München go head to head. Odds of 3.3 are available with Bet Victor in their BTTS market.