Córdoba vs Lorca Deportiva Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up this Sunday afternoon (UK time), Lorca Deportiva head to Estadio Nuevo Arcángel to challenge Córdoba at 5:00pm in a Segunda B - Group 4 fixture.
There is no UK TV coverage for this game. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish real-time goal updates throughout the match.
Read on for full preview, match prediction and recommended bet.
This is the sort of betting opportunity we like at Frog's headquarters.
Betting Odds for Córdoba vs Lorca Deportiva
A summary of the Match Odds:
Córdoba: 1.4 (bet-at-home)
Draw: 4.25 (marathonbet)
Lorca Deportiva: 9.0 (unibet)
Turning to the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.17 via unibet. The standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.73 if you check out marathonbet.
Here are the current prices for the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market. "Yes" is currently available at 2.55 with bwin. And "No is currently available at 1.53 with william-hill.
Head To Head
Over the last ten years, there are no head-to-head matches between these two teams.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 22 matches. They have 9 wins; 6 draws; and 7 losses. This gives Córdoba a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 40%-27%-31%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.05 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 0.95.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 50% (5 wins) in their 10 home fixtures. 20% (2) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 30% (3) resulting in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.3 times when at home in this last year and they have conceded 1.0.
In their last ten matches, across all competitions, they have averaged 0.9 goals per match and this has led to their current win rate of 40%. The total number of times both Córdoba and the opposition have scored is 4 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 2 from their last ten. However, they have not scored in their last 3 matches.
Even focusing on their best stats, we suspect that most loyal fans will be slightly concerned about backing the home side, given the prices available. Frog thinks they should be a bigger price than this. They don't represent value and therefore they cannot be backed for this preview.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 22 matches. They have 14 wins; 3 draws; and 5 losses. This gives Lorca Deportiva a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 63%-13%-22%.
In this time, they have scored 1.91 goals on average per match; while conceding 0.73 goals on average.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 77% (7 wins) in their 9 away fixtures. 0% (0) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 22% (2) resulting in a loss when they are the away team.
When the have played as the visiting side in this time, their average number of goals scored is 2.22 and they have conceded 0.78 on average.
The stats for this side have created some indicators for Frog's assessment.
Frog's betting tip for Córdoba vs Lorca Deportiva
No question about who is the favourite, but Frog is picking the underdogs, Lorca Deportiva, to upset the odds at a price of 9.0 with unibet. The prices would have you believe that it will end up being a pretty surprising result. But Frog cannot ignore value, so the pick is with the outsider in this game.