Lorient vs Olympique Marseille Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up this Saturday afternoon (UK time), Olympique Marseille will go to Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir to play Lorient at 4:00pm in a Ligue 1 fixture.
The game will be broadcast live on BT Sport Extra.
The following stats and analysis detail the evidence for the selection in this game.
We have found some decent positive expected value to be had for this fixture.
Betting Odds for Lorient vs Olympique Marseille
Fans of the home side can get 3.2 about Lorient with Bet365; any backers of the visitors will find 2.38 to back Olympique Marseille by visiting Bet Victor. If you like the stalemate, Bet365 will give you 3.4 for the draw.
With the O/U 2.5 Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.1 with Betfair Sportsbook. The best price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.8 via Bet365.
Here are the best bets for the BTTS market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 1.86 with Betfair Sportsbook. "No" is available at 2.15 for the customers of Bet Victor.
Head To Head
To get this preview started, Frog notes that Lorient played Olympique Marseille in 2017. It was a Ligue 1 match. The winners after 90 minutes were Olympique Marseille securing a score of 1-4.
Over the last ten years of results, these sides have played 13 times. Lorient have won in 3 of these; Olympique Marseille have won 6 times. The other 4 matches ended in a draw.
There has been an average of 2.92 goals. Lorient score an average of 1.31 and their opponents, Olympique Marseille score an average of 1.62 per outing.
Looking at the combined records on the road, the visiting side has won 46% of these encounters. The home side has prevailed in 23% of them.
Lorient have 7 points in the Ligue 1. They are in 17th position.
There has been 33 matches played by the home team over the recent 12 months. They have 15 wins; 6 draws; and 12 losses. In other words, Lorient have won 45%, drawn 18%, and lost 36% of their recent matches.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.55 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.18.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 52% (9 wins) from their last 17 home fixtures. 23% (4) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 23% (4) being a loss for the home side.
Their home scoring record for this period shows that their average number of goals scored is 1.65. They have conceded 1.0 on average.
In their last ten matches, across all competitions, they have averaged 1.3 goals per match. In this time they have a win rate of 20%. Of those ten matches, 7 of them have seen both sides score. The frequency of matches with a total of three goals or more is 5 games in their last ten outings.
Olympique Marseille have 12 points in the Ligue 1, which puts them in 6th place.
Looking over the last year, they have played 36 matches. They have 20 wins; 8 draws; and 8 losses. This gives Olympique Marseille a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 55%-22%-22%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.67 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.03.
When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 54% (12 wins) from the most recent 22 away fixtures. 18% (4) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 27% (6) ending in a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 1.64 times when away in this period while they have conceded 0.95.
Across all competitions, they are averaging 1.1 goals per game in their most recent ten matches and in this time they have a win rate of 40%. The total number of times both Olympique Marseille and the opposition have scored is 5 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 2 from these ten.
Frog's betting tip for Lorient vs Olympique Marseille
Evidence points to these sides cancelling each other out. Frog's betting tip in this game is to get with the draw; available at 3.4 with Bet365 and it is the value play.