Union Berlin vs Freiburg Match Preview and Prediction
On Saturday afternoon (UK time), Freiburg go to Stadion An der Alten Försterei to play Union Berlin at 2:30pm in a Bundesliga game.
This match has no UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler will be providing live scores.
The following stats explain the evidence for the tip in this match.
These sections will justify where the value is to take advantage of. Frog works through the numbers below.
Betting Odds for Union Berlin vs Freiburg
Bet365 are best price 2.3 about Union Berlin; Bet Victor go 3.5 for the draw; William Hill are best price 3.2 about Freiburg.
For the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.83 on the trading floor at Bet Victor whereas the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.0 via Bet365.
Lastly, on to the latest odds for the Both Teams To Score market. "Yes" is currently available at 1.67 with William Hill; "No" is currently available at 2.3 for the customers of Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In the most recent match-up, Union Berlin played Freiburg in March. It was a Bundesliga match. The winners were Freiburg securing a score of 3-1.
Reviewing the last decade, these sides have clashed 5 times. Union Berlin have won in 3 of the matches in this period, while Freiburg have won 2 of these clashes. A stalemate has occurred 0 times.
For this particular head-to-head, there has been an average of 3.2 goals per game. Union Berlin score an average of 1.6 and Freiburg score an average of 1.6.
Looking at the match-up in terms of combined Home and Away performance, whichever side has been at home has won 60% of these matches and the visitors have won 40% of the time.
In 10th place in Bundesliga with 5 points is the home team, Union Berlin.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 38 matches. They have 20 wins; 6 draws; and 12 losses. This gives Union Berlin a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 52%-15%-31%.
In this time, they have scored 1.74 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.39 goals on average.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 68% (13 wins) in their 19 home fixtures. 10% (2) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 21% (4) being a loss for the home team.
While playing at home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 2.11 and they have conceded 1.0 on average.
Their most recent 12 matches have seen them score. Given the favouritism in the odds, Frog thinks that this side could be the value play. Union Berlin are unbeaten in their recent 4 matches.
Currently, Freiburg have 5 points in the league, which puts them in 12th position.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 30 matches. They have 11 wins; 7 draws; and 12 losses. This gives Freiburg a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 36%-23%-40%.
In this time, they have scored 1.4 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.63 goals on average.
Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 25% (4 wins). There have been 16 away fixtures. 25% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 50% (8) resulting in a loss.
While playing away from home over this recent year, their average number of goals scored is 1.31 and they have conceded 2.06 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have a total of 20 goals in their last ten matches; 5 of these matches have been wins. There have been 8 occasions when both Freiburg and their opponents have scored... The number of matches with a total of three goals or more is 7 games in these last ten outings.
To conclude, while there are a few interesting numbers behind this team, Frog would point to the greater significance of the Union Berlin stats given the price available on them.
Frog's betting tip for Union Berlin vs Freiburg
Union Berlin to win. This is available at 2.3 with Bet365. It is likely to be one of the best bets of the day so if you'd like an involvement in this one, Frog backs Union Berlin for the win. With Union Berlin, we have a team developing a habit of scoring.