17:30
30 Jul

Ahlen

Erfurt

Draw
@ 4.45
BTTS No
@ 3.6
Under 3.5 Goals
@ 2.33
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Draw @ 4.45 with Marathonbet

Tipped at 17:07 29-Jul (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for draw tip

  • Ahlen have drawn 7 of their last 19 matches
  • Erfurt have drawn 6 of their last 20 matches

Ahlen price just too short

Ahlen may be superior than Erfurt but it is hard to get excited about backing them.

This isn't a confident view but the short price for Ahlen has made them a terrible bet. Erfurt don't look likely to get the win but they can put up some resistance. Building on the strong rearguard performances of both sides, a goalless stalemate is the pick but it's certainly not something to get carried away about.

There have been some notable displays in defence by both sides. In their last 3 matches Ahlen have only conceded 0.7 goals, while Erfurt have conceded only 1 goal in their last 3 matches.

The sportsbooks believe that neither side will keep a clean sheet during this match despite the favouritism for Ahlen. But with the odds-against price on BTTS No that makes more sense on this occasion.

Ahlen have drawn 7 of their last 17 matches on their own soil while Erfurt have drawn 5 of their last 13 away games. It's not the most exciting thing you'll read today and it feels like a match to keep at arm's length. A deadlock awaits after what will probably be a low-scoring affair.

Of course, Erfurt are a fifth tier side so it remains to be seen how they adapt to the challenge presented by their superior rivals who will also be enjoying home advantage.

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