Hertha Berlin vs FC Koln tips and predictions

Closely contested Bundesliga encounter offers up some home win value

There's 5 points separating the two clubs as 13th place Hertha Berlin get set to host 17th place FC Koln.

Get settled in for a decent contest with the home side ultimately prevailing. Every man and his dog seems to be raving about an away win but the data points to a home success.

On their own soil Hertha Berlin will be confident about adding to FC Koln's recent defeats. Adversity has gradually been building up for this away squad over their last 12 fixtures. They've been beaten 8 times in that period. While they've obviously had different opposition, that doesn't sound like the record of a winning team.

This home squad is enjoying some form at their own ground. Hertha Berlin have scored two or more goals in 4 of their recent 5 home matches and their performances in defence have also paid dividends. They've only conceded an average of 0.7 goals across their last 7 games. So there is certainly some confidence among those who have talked up the chances of the home side getting the job done.

FC Koln have conceded at least once in all of their last 17 matches. If these numbers prove significant you are likely to see the home team picking holes in their back four.

Hertha Berlin have won 8 of the last 13 fixtures between these sides before this one. This next meeting is a good opportunity for them to add to these head-to-head statistics. There's plenty of people expecting to see them do it.

Don't be surprised if the two sides cancel each other out in a war of attrition. It's not a strong view and it won't be for everyone, but the No BTTS bet seems prudent.