16:30
01 Jul

JaPS

TPS

Home Win
@ 6.5
BTTS No
@ 2.1
Under 2.5 Goals
@ 2.3
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

JaPS to beat TPS @ 6.5 with William Hill

Tipped at 17:05 29-Jun (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for JaPS beating TPS tip

  • JaPS have scored 1 or more goals in all of their last 12 matches
  • JaPS have won 11 of their last 16 home matches
  • JaPS have conceded 1 or less goals in 10 of their last 11 home matches
  • TPS have scored 1 or less goals in 2 of their last 3 matches
  • TPS have conceded 1 or more goals in 2 of their last 3 away matches

Hosts picked for a bit of excitement

The total goals expectation for this fixture is higher than normal so this could be entertaining.

These 4 Star Gold bet suggestions have a strong confidence rating, returning over 10% in the last few months of action. The performance for gold bets in this league is shown at the top of the page. For this verdict, the home side is the pick because there's nothing of value anywhere else.

If the home side gets a few lucky breaks they might just surprise a few people.

The hosts start the match with 11 home wins from their last 16. If TPS come unstuck it will register as a siesmic upset but at the price on offer, it's a decent play.

JaPS need to accept that their chances are likely to come against the run of play. If the hosts are really up for it, it will be due to the confidence they gained during their recent goal rush. They have scored at least once in all of their recent 12 matches and that effort has been consolidated at the back where they've conceded no more than once in 10 of their last 11 home games.

TPS have not enjoyed some of their recent journeys. They actually conceded at least once in 2 of their last 3 away matches. And their problems aren't just in their defensive line. The visitors have not been able to rely on their forwards lately. They've scored one or less goals in 2 of their last 3 matches.

So the visitors are obviously legitimate favourites but they are simply too short. Essentially football matches come down to which side imposes their will on the other. There's an argument to be made that the distance between the two sides maybe isn't as significant as you think. Sometimes it just takes half a chance. JaPS to win has to be the value.

Note that TPS will want to further justify their short price with a clean sheet at full-time. In which case the BTTS No bet makes a decent side bet.

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