La Nucia vs Eibar tips and predictions

Hosts picked for a bit of excitement

Conventional wisdom says that when these sides lock horns they are bound to produce some goals.

The visitors normally do their day job at a level above the hosts but there are some stats that look good for a home win in this match-up. While it's not particularly strange to see these big odds against the home team they cannot be written off.

This preview attempts some to explain some reasons for the upset.

The hosts have reached 4 home wins from their last 6 games. With less success than one would have thought the visitors have lost 12 of their last 18 matches home and away. For a team so short in the betting, perhaps they'd be expected to have done better than this. If you believe the experts, Eibar have won this before the first whistle has even been blown. But it's worth looking closer at how the two sides have fared.

La Nucia have to get any self-doubt out of their mind. Recently there's been a lot of positive commentary about the home side's defence. Credit where it's due; these have been effective tactics and they have conceded no more than once in 19 of their last 20 home games. Add that to the fact that the away team has been looking ragged when under attack. Away from home Eibar have conceded an average of 3.0 goals in their last 5 matches. And when scoring chances have beckoned, the visitors haven't enjoyed their best form. They've scored one or less goals in 19 of their last 20 matches.

Eibar will want to further justify their short price with a clean sheet at full-time. The BTTS No could be a good looking side bet. Obviously all of this depends on how the hosts manage a standard of football they aren't used to.

So, if the home team is to pull off the upset, it is critical that they take their chances. They've posted some good wins recently and the best way to pull off an upset is to secure some wins in the build-up. They will have to call on their best football if they're to deny the visitors.