15:00
28 Jan

Luton

Grimsby

Away Win
@ 7.75
BTTS Yes
@ 2.0
Under 3.5 Goals
@ 1.44
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Grimsby to beat Luton @ 7.75 with Unibet

Tipped at 21:12 26-Jan (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Grimsby beating Luton tip

  • Grimsby have won 6 of their last 13 away matches
  • Luton have conceded 1 or more goals in 12 of their last 14 home matches
  • Grimsby have scored 1 or more goals in 16 of their last 20 away matches
  • Grimsby have not conceded in 2 of their last 3 matches
  • Luton have scored 1 or less goals in 4 of their last 6 home matches

Grimsby epitomising role of outsiders for FA Cup fixture

The hosts are expected to get through this as they are a second-tier side but it might not be as simple as that. Grimsby are not well liked but they can sometimes over-perform. The home win price is just too short so the pick is with the outsiders.

No question, the hosts are widely expected to win with ease but they're not any value. When at home Luton's strikers haven't been at their best. They've scored 1.2 goals on average over their last 6 game on their own soil which is fact that might encourage backers of the big upset. Luton's occasional lapses in concentration haven't gone unpunished. They conceded at least once in 12 of their last 14 home matches. So perhaps the upset is not ludicrous.

The Mariners have actually been victorious in 6 of their last 13 trips away. They've scored at least once in 16 of their last 20 away fixtures which is something they'll have to take encouragement from to have any chance of impressing here. While they are facing a huge challenge there is still some justification for an away win at the big price. Their recent defensive displays could be a key for them too. They have kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 3 matches.

Looking beyond the 1X2, the Both Teams To Score Yes looks like the preferred side bet even if it's not a great price.

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