21:30
28 Jan

Santos

Ferroviaria

Draw
@ 3.71
BTTS Yes
@ 2.0
Over 2.5 Goals
@ 2.13
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Draw @ 3.71 with Pinnacle

Tipped at 01:11 27-Jan (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for draw tip

  • Ferroviaria have drawn 9 of their last 20 away matches
  • Games between these two teams have resulted in a draw 4 of the last 5 times they have played
  • Santos have drawn 7 of their last 20 home matches
  • Santos drew 0-0 with Agua Santa in their last match

Santos might not justify short price

There may be a massive difference in the calibre of these teams but it is hard to get excited about backing the home side.

The short price for Santos renders them a no-bet. Ferroviaria don't look likely get the win but they can make a fist of this.

Recent performances by both of these teams have produced plenty of goal scoring chances for their opposition. This has been borne out in the recent stats. Sometimes looking vulnerable at home, Santos have conceded at an average of 1.7 goals per game over their last 9 matches and in their last 3 away matches Ferroviaria have conceded 2.0 goals per game on average.

In previous matches in this head-to-head, 4 of the last 5 have finished on level terms.

Santos are the clear favourites but things could get exciting if Ferroviaria can make inroads into the match. It's not standing out as value but the Yes BTTS bet is the unconfident side bet.

Santos have drawn 7 of their last 20 matches on their own soil, including their most recent match when they drew 0-0 with Agua Santa last Thursday. Ferroviaria have drawn 9 of their last 20 matches on the road. It isn't very exciting and it feels like a match to be nervous about. The draw is the pick after a game that could produce end-to-end stuff.

Of course, Ferroviaria are a fourth tier side so it remains to be seen how they adapt to the challenge presented by their superior rivals on their own turf.

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