Sevilla vs Elche tips and predictions

Sevilla short price offers zero value

Elche have been written off and even if it sounds like a mug's bet, the big price is the value play. The super short home win price makes them a no-bet.

The hosts are widely seen as undeniable favourites but they are far from a dead-cert. Los Rojiblancos have lost 6 of their last 11 games as hosts. Their tactics in the final third haven't helped their latest goal scoring ledger. They've scored one or less goals in 13 of their last 15 matches on their own paddock which is a stat that should provide some encouragement to supporters of the upset. They need to tidy things up at the back. Giving up an average of 1.7 goals across their latest 11 matches on their own paddock has given them pause for thought.

Elche are frequently showing what they've got in the locker. It's clear that their best results have been characterised by their quality in front of goal. They've scored three or more goals in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures and if they're to get anything from this game their forwards cannot be carrying any fitness concerns. While they are facing a huge challenge there is still some logic in liking the chances for an away win at the big price. They have conceded no more than once in all of their last 4 matches.

The sportsbooks' prices suggest that one of these sides doesn't look likely to score because Sevilla are such big favourites. However the BTTS Yes option is odds-against so that's where the value is.