13:30
23 Jan

Telstar

Jong Ajax

Home Win
@ 4.5
BTTS Yes
@ 1.64
Under 3.5 Goals
@ 1.51
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Telstar to beat Jong Ajax @ 4.5 with bet365

Tipped at 14:10 21-Jan (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Telstar beating Jong Ajax tip

  • Jong Ajax have conceded 1 or more goals in 19 of their last 20 away matches
  • Telstar have scored 1 or more goals in 18 of their last 20 home matches
  • Telstar have not conceded in 1 of their last 3 home matches
  • Telstar have won 1 of their last 3 matches
  • Jong Ajax have scored 1 or less goals in 3 of their last 5 matches

Reasons to like chances of Telstar

There is something that doesn't seem right about these prices. It won't be long into proceedings before the home players start to look dangerous.

The hosts are coming into the match having put 1 win in the bank from their last 3 games. It's a big ask and it will be considered an upset if Telstar win but they will make Jong Ajax earn it.

Telstar will need to be prepared for half-chances against the run of play if they're to get this done. The home team is definitely in some form on their own turf. They scored one or more times in 18 of their recent 20 home matches and they've flexed their muscles when under attack. They have only conceded an average of 1.3 goals in their last 4 games.

Jong Ajax have not enjoyed some of their recent journeys. They actually conceded one or more times in 19 of their last 20 away matches. And the problems aren't exclusively in the defensive third. Averaging just 1.4 goals in their last 5 matches, Jong Ajax have would have expected more.

The betting markets imply that both sides can get in on the act despite the favouritism for Jong Ajax. It's not easy to find value in the Both Teams To Score market. But the Yes BTTS bet is the right side to be on. As for the goal line, it's Under 3.5 Goals picked as the best play considering how that market has been priced up.

The visitors are legitimate favourites but they are too short to back. Essentially football matches come down to which side maintains composure under pressure. If they are to get the job done, it might be how well the home side executes on the counterattack that makes the difference.

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