Londrina vs Criciúma Match Preview and Prediction
On Friday evening (UK time), Criciúma head to Estádio Municipal Jacy Scaff to challenge Londrina at 11:15pm. This is a Serie B game.
This fixture has no official UK TV coverage. Frog The Gambler's live scores section will publish goal updates during the match.
The following stats and analysis explain the reasons for the prediction in this match.
The preview below will justify why and where the value is. Frog breaks it down below.
Betting Odds for Londrina vs Criciuma
Bet Victor are offering 2.2 about Londrina; Bet365 will give you 3.25 for the draw; Betway are 3.75 about Criciuma.
In terms of the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.55 via Betfair Sportsbook; the standout price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.53 offered by Bet365.
Next, a look at the best odds for the BTTS market. If you think both teams will score, "Yes" can be backed at 1.78 with Bet Victor; "No" can be backed at 2.2 at Bet365.
Head To Head
In their most recent head-to-head, Londrina played Criciúma in November in a Serie B clash. The winners after 90 minutes were Londrina - winning with a margin of 4-2. Felipe Marques scored two times for the home team. And Liel bagged a brace for the away side.
Over the last decade, these two sides have met 8 times. Londrina have won in 2 of these, while their opponents, Criciúma have won 4 times. There have been 2 draws.
Overall there has been an average of 3.0 goals. Londrina have scored an average of 1.5. Criciúma score an average of 1.5 per match.
Looking specifically at the match-up on the road, whichever side has been away has won 50% of the matches between these sides. The home side has secured the win 25% of the time.
As we look ahead to this one, Londrina have 24 points in the Serie B, which puts them in 4th position.
There have been 53 matches played by this side over the recent 12 months. They have 25 wins; 14 draws; and 14 losses. In other words, Londrina have won 47%, drawn 26%, and lost 26% of their recent matches.
During this recent year, they average 1.4 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.11.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 70% (17 wins) from 24 home fixtures. 12% (3) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 16% (4) resulting in a loss.
When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 1.92. They have conceded 1.08 on average.
Their recent performance data shows that they have scored a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches. In this time they have a win rate of 40%. Of those ten matches, 5 of them have seen both sides score. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 4 from their last ten. And they have scored in their last 3 matches.
The away team has 16 points in the Serie B, which puts them in 15th place.
There has been 56 matches played by the away team in the last year. They have 19 wins; 17 draws; and 20 losses. To summarise, Criciúma have a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 33%-30%-35%, in recent form.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.0 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.09.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 29% (8 wins) from the latest 27 away fixtures. 25% (7) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 44% (12) resulting in a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 0.93 times when away in this period. They have conceded 1.33.
Their recent performance data shows that they have scored a total of 7 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 30%. Regarding the BTTS count, 4 of these games are matches where both teams have scored; the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 2 in the last ten.
Frog's betting tip for Londrina vs Criciúma
The analysis suggests that this will be a match with plenty of scoring chances. Considering how these sides match up, it looks like we can expect to see a few goals. If you're looking to back the Over 2.5, take the over line at odds of 2.3 with Betfair Sportsbook. Frog is feeling confident about this one.