Hoffenheim vs Freiburg Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up on Sunday afternoon (UK time), in a Bundesliga fixture, Hoffenheim will play Freiburg at PreZero Arena with a 2:30pm kick-off.
See the drama unfold live on BT Sport 1.
Read on for preview and match prediction.
Be aware that Frog believes the latest prices are not offering up much value with this match, but if there is a bet to be had, check out the Verdict below.
Betting Odds for Hoffenheim vs Freiburg
When we look at the 1X2: Ladbrokes are offering 1.87 about Hoffenheim, Bet Victor are best price 3.9 for the draw, Unibet are offering 4.25 about Freiburg.
Turning to the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.62 via Bet Victor. The most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.38 with Betfair Sportsbook.
And here are the best odds for the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 1.62 with William Hill. If you don't like that, "No" is currently offered at 2.5 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
To start, we note that Hoffenheim played Freiburg in January in a Bundesliga clash. The winners were Hoffenheim with a final score of 2-4. A. Kramarić scored twice for Hoffenheim.
Over the last ten years, the two teams have met 18 times. Hoffenheim have won in 5 of these head-to-head matches, while Freiburg have won 4 matches. The remaining 9 matches resulted in a draw.
There has been an average of 3.33 goals each match. Hoffenheim score an average of 1.72; Freiburg have scored an average of 1.61 each game.
Looking at the combined records on the road, the visiting side has won 22% of these encounters. The home side has prevailed in 27% of them.
The home team has 4 points in the Bundesliga and they are currently in 9th place.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 47 matches. They have 14 wins; 18 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Hoffenheim a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 29%-38%-31%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.91 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.62.
A look at their home record in this time. They have a win rate of 33% (8 wins) from the most recent 24 home fixtures. 29% (7) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 37% (9) resulting in a loss for the home side.
Their home scoring record for this period shows that their average number of goals scored is 1.75. They have conceded 1.5 on average.
In their last ten matches they have averaged 1.1 goals per match; one of these matches was a win. The frequency of matches in which both Hoffenheim and their opposition have scored is 6 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 6 from their last ten.
Right now Freiburg have 6 points in the Bundesliga, giving them 6th position.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 45 matches. They have 14 wins; 16 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Freiburg a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 31%-35%-33%.
In these matches, they have averaged 1.62 goals for, and 1.51 goals against.
Specifically on their recent away record, they have a win rate of 24% (6 wins). There have been 25 away fixtures. 36% (9) of these away games have been a draw, with the remaining 40% (10) resulting in a loss when they are the away team.
On average they have scored 1.4 times when away from home in this last year. They have conceded 1.6.
Their recent performance data shows that they have scored a total of 17 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 50%. The total number of times both Freiburg and the opposition have scored is 4 out of the ten. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 from these ten.
And they have scored in each of their last 3 matches.
Frog's betting tip for Hoffenheim vs Freiburg
If you're looking for an interest when Hoffenheim take on Freiburg, Frog has picked over 2.5 goals in this one. The market makes it odds-on that there will be over two goals. Frog supports this opinion.
However, this does not represent epic value. There will be better value opportunities elsewhere on the FTG platform. Bet365 make it a 1.57 shot that there will be Over 2.5 Goals.