SPAL vs Lazio Match Preview and Prediction
On Sunday afternoon (UK time), Lazio head to Stadio Paolo Mazza to challenge SPAL at 2:00pm. This is a Serie A match.
Premier Sports 1 will be showing this match in the UK.
The following sections explain the evidence for the tip in this game.
The preview will outline where the value is.
Betting Odds for SPAL vs Lazio
This table shows the 1X2 odds:
SPAL: 6.25 (Bet Victor)
Draw: 4.2 (Betway)
Lazio: 1.6 (Unibet)
Reviewing the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.75 via Bet Victor; the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.15 via Unibet.
Also, the prices for the BTTS market. If you think both sides will score, "Yes" can be backed at 1.8 with Betfair Sportsbook. And "No" can be backed at 2.15 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
Frog's records show that SPAL played Lazio in April in a Serie A match. The winners at the final whistle were SPAL - with a final score of 1-0.
Reviewing the last decade, these sides have met 6 times. SPAL have emerged victorious in 1 of them, while Lazio have won 4 matches. The other match ended in a draw.
There has been an average of 3.0 goals in their meetings. SPAL score an average of 0.67. Lazio have scored an average of 2.33 each game.
Focussing on the Home and Away performance numbers, whichever side has been at home has won 16% of these matches and the visitors have got the win 66% of the time.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 41 matches. They have 11 wins; 10 draws; and 20 losses. This gives SPAL a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 26%-24%-48%.
In this time, they have scored 1.24 goals on average per match; while conceding 1.56 goals on average.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 23% (5 wins) in their 21 home fixtures. 38% (8) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 38% (8) ending in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.14 goals when at home in this same period and they have conceded 1.43.
In recent form, they have a total of 18 goals in their last ten matches; they have won 3 of these matches. Of these ten games, 7 of them have seen both sides score. The frequency of matches with three match goals or more is 7 games in their last ten outings.
Lazio have 4 points in the Serie A, putting them in 4th position.
There has been 54 matches played by this side in the last year. They have 27 wins; 11 draws; and 16 losses. These recent results put Lazio on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 50%-20%-29%.
Over this period, they have scored 1.63 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.19.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 51% (15 wins) from the most recent 29 away fixtures. 13% (4) of these games away from home have been a draw, with the remaining 34% (10) being a loss when they are the away team.
Away from home over the year, their average number of goals scored is 1.38 and they have conceded 1.17 on average.
Their recent performance, across all formats, shows that they have scored a total of 26 goals in their last ten matches and 7 of these matches have been victories. Of those ten matches, 7 of them have seen both sides score; and there has been 8 matches with over 2.5 goals.
They have scored at least once in each of their last 15 matches.
Frog's betting tip for SPAL vs Lazio
We're expecting at least one of these sides to fail to break down the opposition defence. Frog will be taking the No option in the Both Teams To Score market, expecting only one side to score in this one. This tip comes with a good confidence rating.Bet Victor are offering 2.25 for "No" in their BTTS market.