Watford vs Arsenal Match Preview and Prediction
This coming Sunday afternoon (UK time), Watford will take on Arsenal at Vicarage Road Stadium with a 4:30pm kick-off. This is a Premier League fixture.
Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League will broadcast this one in the UK.
Read on for preview and match prediction.
We have found positive expected value to be had with this match. Frog's analysis will break down where it lies.
Betting Odds for Watford vs Arsenal
Starting with the Match Odds, Bet Victor are best price 3.9 about Watford, Unibet are 3.93 for the draw and Coral are offering 2.0 about Arsenal. These are top prices in the market.
Highlights in the Total Goals lines, the best price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.6 on the trading floor at Bet Victor and the most attractive price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.62 via Betfair Sportsbook.
Here are the current bets for the BTTS market. "Yes" can be backed at 1.5 with Bet365. Otherwise, "No" can be supported at 2.75 for the customers of Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In terms of recent performance, Watford played Arsenal in April. It was a Premier League clash. The winners on the day were Arsenal by a margin of 0-1.
Reviewing the last decade, these sides have played 9 times. Watford have run out winners in 3 of these head-to-head matches. Arsenal have won 6 matches. There have been no draws.
In those matches, there has been an average of 2.89 goals in their meetings. Watford have scored an average of 0.78; Arsenal have scored an average of 2.11 each game.
A look at this match-up for the travelling team reveals that whichever side has been the visiting team has won 66% of these fixtures. The home side has prevailed in 33% of these matches.
The home team has 1 point in the Premier League, which puts them in 20th place.
Looking at results for the last year, they have played 48 matches. They have 17 wins; 10 draws; and 21 losses. This gives Watford a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 35%-20%-43%.
Over this period, they have scored 1.29 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.6.
At home over this time, they have a win rate of 38% (8 wins) from the most recent 21 home fixtures. 14% (3) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 47% (10) being a loss.
On average they have scored 1.38 goals when at home in this same period. They have conceded 1.67.
As far as their recent performance goes, both home and away, they have a total of 10 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 30%. Regarding the BTTS count, 5 of these games are matches where both teams have scored. The total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from their last ten.
And they have scored in their last 3 matches.
In 6th place in Premier League with 7 points is the away team.
In their recent form over the last year, they have played 64 matches. They have 38 wins; 11 draws; and 15 losses. This gives Arsenal a recent Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 59%-17%-23%.
Over this period, they have scored 1.91 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.16.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 45% (14 wins) in their 31 away fixtures. 19% (6) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 35% (11) ending in a loss as the away side.
On average they have scored 1.65 goals when away in this same period and they have conceded 1.45.
In their last ten matches they have averaged 1.6 goals per match. In this time they have a win rate of 40%. Of those ten matches, 8 of them have seen both sides score. There has been 8 matches with over 2.5 goals.
And they have scored in each of their last 16 matches.
Frog's betting tip for Watford vs Arsenal
Given how these sides match up, Frog's tip in this game is to get with the draw; available at 3.76 with Unibet. It is the best value bet.