Preview updated at 23:30 15/09/2019 UKT
Aston Villa v West Ham United
Over 2.5 Total Goals
Tipped at 2019-09-14 20:12 UKT (always check current prices before betting)

Aston Villa vs West Ham United Match Preview and Prediction

On Monday evening (UK time), West Ham United head to Villa Park to challenge Aston Villa at 8:00pm. This is a Premier League match.

The game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Main Event and Sky Sports Premier League.

Read on for the preview, match prediction and betting suggestion.

The details to follow will describe why and where the value is for us to exploit. Frog works through the key numbers below.

Betting Odds for Aston Villa vs West Ham United

Aston Villa are 2.7 with Betfair Sportsbook. The draw is available at 3.6 with Bet Victor; West Ham United have a top price of 2.65 with Unibet.

On the O/U 2.5 Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 1.67 via William Hill; the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 2.38 with Bet Victor.

On to the odds for the BTTS offerings. "Yes" is currently available at 1.53 with William Hill. For those with the opposite view, "No" can be backed at 2.75 for account holders at Bet Victor.

Head To Head

To get the preview underway, Frog can highlight that Aston Villa played West Ham United in 2018 for a Club Friendlies clash. The winners were West Ham United - with a score of 1-3.

During the last decade of action, these teams have played 13 times. Aston Villa have emerged victorious in 4 of them and West Ham United have won 5 of them. A stalemate has occurred 4 times.

In those matches, there has been an average of 1.85 goals. Aston Villa have scored an average of 0.85 and West Ham United score an average of 1.0.

Specifically looking at home ground performance, whichever side has been home has won 30% of the time. The away side has won 38% of the time.

Aston Villa

Ahead of this one, Aston Villa have 3 points in the Premier League which puts them in 18th position.

There have been 54 matches played by the home team in the last year. They have 27 wins; 13 draws; and 14 losses. This recent form puts Aston Villa on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 50%-24%-25%.

Over this period, they have scored 1.87 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.22.

At home over this time, they have a win rate of 52% (13 wins) from the most recent 25 home fixtures. 24% (6) of these home games have been a draw, with the remaining 24% (6) resulting in a loss for the home side.

When at home in this time, their average number of goals scored is 2.04 and they have conceded 1.52 on average.

In their last ten matches they have scored 26 times and 7 of these latest matches have been victories. Regarding the BTTS count, 6 of these games are matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 7 from the last ten.

West Ham United

The away team has 7 points in the Premier League. They are in 7th position.

There have been 49 matches played by the away team over the recent 12 months. They have 23 wins; 9 draws; and 17 losses. To summarise, West Ham United have a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 46%-18%-34%, in recent form.

Over this period, they have scored 1.69 times per match, on average, while conceding 1.45.

When away from home in this period, they have a win rate of 42% (11 wins) in their 26 away fixtures. 15% (4) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 42% (11) ending in a loss when they are the away team.

When on away turf over the last year, their average number of goals scored is 1.42 and they have conceded 1.42 on average.

Their recent performance, in league or cup football, shows that they have scored a total of 17 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 50%. The total number of times that West Ham United and whoever they've played have also scored is 5 matches in those ten and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 games over this same period.

And they are also on a run of 4 matches in a row in which they have scored.

Frog's betting tip for Aston Villa vs West Ham United

Frog can see a match with plenty of scoring chances. And when Aston Villa take on West Ham United, we expect our followers will be looking to get three or more goals. For backers of the Over 2.5, take the over line at odds of 1.67 with William Hill. The expected value of this bet is positive, according to Frog's work.