Millwall vs Luton Town Match Preview and Prediction
Coming up on Tuesday evening (UK time), in a Championship match-up, Millwall will be taking on Luton Town at The Den with a 7:45pm start.
The game will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Arena.
Read on for full preview and match prediction.
The detail in the preview explains the dominant stats and analytics, and describes the logic behind the pick.
Betting Odds for Millwall vs Luton Town
Starting with the match winner market, William Hill will give you 2.0 about Millwall, Bet365 offer 3.4 for the draw and Unibet will give you 4.25 about Luton Town. These are among the top prices in the market.
Reviewing the Total Goals lines, the top price for Over 2.5 goals is 2.2 with Bet365 whereas the top price for Under 2.5 goals is 1.67 via 888sport.
And here are the available odds for the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) market. If you like "Yes", it is currently available at 1.91 with Betway. "No", both teams won't score, is currently offered at 1.91 with Bet Victor.
Head To Head
In their most recent head-to-head, Millwall played Luton Town in January; it was a Championship match. The winners after 90 minutes were Millwall with a margin of 3-1.
Over the last decade, these two sides have faced-off 4 times. Millwall have won in 3 of them. Luton Town have not won. There has been 1 draw.
In these matches, there has been an average of 3.25 goals per game. Millwall have scored an average of 2.5; Luton Town have scored an average of 0.75.
A look at this match-up for the travelling team reveals that whichever side has been the visiting team has won 0% of these fixtures. The home side has prevailed in 75% of these matches.
In 9th place in Championship with 8 points are Millwall.
There has been 37 matches played by the home team over the recent 12 months. They have 15 wins; 12 draws; and 10 losses. These recent results put Millwall on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 40%-32%-27%.
In this period, they have an average of 1.3 goals for, and 1.0 goals against.
Let's look at their record at home over the same time-frame. They have a win rate of 35% (7 wins) from the latest 20 home fixtures. 40% (8) of these games at home have been a draw, with the remaining 25% (5) resulting in a loss for the home side.
On average they have scored 1.3 times when at home in this same period; they have conceded 1.05.
In recent form, they have a total of 14 goals in their last ten matches; they have won 5 of these matches. Regarding the BTTS count, 5 of these games are matches where both teams have scored and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 from the last ten. And they have scored at least once in each of their last 3 matches.
The away team has 9 points in the Championship. They are in 6th place.
There is a total of 37 matches played by this side over the course of the last year. They have 14 wins; 3 draws; and 20 losses. This recent form puts Luton Town on a Win-Draw-Loss rate of: 37%-8%-54%.
Over this 12-month period, they average 1.16 goals per match. They have conceded an average of 1.7.
On the road in the last 12 months, they have a win rate of 26% (5 wins) from the most recent 19 away fixtures. 5% (1) of these matches have been a draw, with the remaining 68% (13) ending in a loss when they are the away team.
Their away scoring record for this period shows that their average number of goals scored is 0.84 and they have conceded 2.05 on average.
In recent form, they have a total of 15 goals in their last ten matches and this has led to their current win rate of 70%. The total number of times that Luton Town and whoever they've played have also scored is 2 matches in those ten and the total number of matches with over 2.5 goals scored is 5 from the last ten.
Frog's betting tip for Millwall vs Luton Town
Having reviewed data that makes a case for any result in this one, Frog sees it as a match-up during which both Millwall and Luton Town could present a threat in front of goal-mouth. That is why "Yes" is the best bet for this fixture. Get involved with this one with the Betway sportsbook. They are offering 1.91 for "Yes" (BTTS). Obviously not guaranteed, but this is a decent value pick.