17:45
16 Oct

Heerenveen

Ajax

Home Win
@ 12.5
BTTS No
@ 2.2
Under 2.5 Goals
@ 3.5
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Heerenveen to beat Ajax @ 12.5 with Coolbet

Tipped at 18:09 14-Oct (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Heerenveen beating Ajax tip

  • Heerenveen have scored 1 or more goals in all of their last 10 matches
  • Heerenveen have won 4 of their last 8 matches
  • Heerenveen have not conceded in 6 of their last 15 home matches
  • Ajax have been scoreless in 1 of their last 3 matches
  • Ajax have lost 1 of their last 3 matches

Eredivisie match offers big price for home win

It's generally accepted that when these sides meet they are bound to produce some goals.

If the home side gets a few lucky breaks they might just surprise a few people.

Heerenveen will be under the hammer but they have reasons to believe they can upset the odds. The hosts have secured 4 wins in 8 matches. Having less success than they'd want the travelling side has pulled up short at times. They've lost 1 of their last 3 matches home and away. For a team so short in the betting, perhaps they'd be expected to have done better than this. If Ajax lose this it will go down as a crazy upset but with the prices on offer, it's worth looking further.

Heerenveen are going to have to produce a standard of football most people don't think they are capable of. If the hosts can grind out a win it will have a lot to do with their growing goal tally. They scored at least once in all of their recent 10 matches and accolades have also come in for their defence. At the back they've kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 15 home games.

In front of goal, the visitors have been underwhelming. They've been goalless in 1 of their last 3 matches. So the hosts are right to be confident if Ajax are going to stumble in front of goal.

Most observers believe that both sides can get in on the act despite the clear favouritism for Ajax. However the odds-against for the No BTTS is actually the sharper play from that market.

So the visitors are obviously legitimate favourites but they are just too short to back. Ultimately football matches come down to which set of players takes their chances. There's an argument to be made that the distance between the two sides maybe isn't as wide as you might think. Sometimes it just takes a half-chance. Heerenveen are the value play.

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