13:00
02 Jul

Thun

Baden

Home Win
@ 1.2
BTTS No
@ 2.2
Under 2.5 Goals
@ 3.5
MATCH VERDICT
BTTS STATS
GOALS STATS

Thun to beat Baden @ 1.2 with Betfred

Tipped at 13:17 01-Jul (always check current prices before betting)

Reasons for Thun beating Baden tip

  • Baden have conceded an average of 3.0 goals in their last 9 matches
  • Thun have won all of their last 4 matches against Baden
  • Baden have lost 12 of their last 16 matches
  • Thun have scored an average 3.2 goals in their last 6 matches
  • Thun have won 10 of their last 15 matches

Thun to come through Baden but no value in prices

Since they trade blows in different leagues the stats are looking good for the hosts. There's no surprise to see the home team so favoured.

It might not be very long after the 1:00pm kick-off before the home favourites have established a foothold on the match. Conventional wisdom says that when these sides square off they're going to produce some goals. But that doesn't mean there's value in the prices.

It is hard to get excited about backing the favourites at such a short price. That said, there's not much chance of any other outcome.

The hosts have reached 10 home wins from their last 11 games. It could also be significant that the travelling side has failed to deliver at times. They've lost 12 of their last 16 matches home and away. They've seemingly lost this one too.

Thun scored at least once in all of their recent 20 home matches.

Recently Baden have conceded an average of 3.0 goals in their last 9 matches. It's not likely they'll have the wherewithal to keep the hosts out.

In the recent matches between the two teams in this rivalry, this home side has been superior, winning 4 consecutive times. Going back to their previous meetings the head-to-head stats give reasons to believe in the home win.

The betting markets suggest that both sides can get in on the act despite the red hot favouritism for Thun. Nevertheless the odds-against for the No BTTS is actually the smart play from that market. Everything in this preview will rest on how the visitors manage a quality of football they aren't used to.

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