Watford vs Leeds tips and predictions

Good times not certain for Leeds faithful

The home side isn't expected to be a spanner in the works but all things considered, they represent the value.

The hosts start the match with 1 win in their last 3 games. If Leeds lose this they may as well retire now. But at the price on offer, it's worth a play.

Watford are going to have to produce a level of football most people don't think they have in them. If the hosts have the self-belief to get the job done it will be due to the confidence they gained in their recent goal spree. These home players have enjoyed a purple patch at their own ground. They have scored at least once in 17 of their recent 18 home matches while getting plenty of support in defence. They've only conceded an average of 1.0 goals across their last 6 games.

Leeds are looking a little shaky on the road. They've conceded three or more goals in 1 of their last 3 away matches. It could be a case of so near and yet so far the underdogs, but they really can do this.

This is not their first rodeo. Watford have won 6 of the last 11 fixtures between the two teams. This looks like a perfect time for them to add to the head-to-head. They have won before, maybe they can do the impossible this time around.

Note that Leeds will want to further justify their short price with a clean sheet at full-time. It is not a strong view so maybe best to give it a miss but the No BTTS bet is the only play with a touch of value from that market.

There's always a caveat when backing big-priced outsiders. It goes without saying that the more likely result is the away win but their price is too short for this preview.