Portugal - Primeira Liga betting performance history

Performance is measured on odds available with advised bookmaker at time tip is first posted.

betting performance frog stakes for Portugal - Primeira Liga

frog bet star rating return on stakes (%) units profit total bets
-8.1%-2.357
-3.1%-2.195
+11.6%22.0238
-6.4%-8.4153

all gold picks for Portugal - Primeira Liga

Winning picks are highlighted in green.
Date Fixture Selection Odds
2021-05-30Rio Ave vs AroucaAway5.75
2021-05-19Sporting vs MaritimoU 2.5 Goals2.2
2021-05-19Portimonense vs BragaAway2.57
2021-05-19Nacional vs Rio AveHome5.36
2021-05-16Maritimo vs Vitoria GuimaraesU 1.5 Goals2.82
2021-05-05Rio Ave vs SportingU 1.5 Goals3.6
2021-05-01Sporting vs NacionalBTTS Yes2.5
2021-05-01Sporting vs NacionalHome1.31
2021-04-30Tondela vs BenficaHome10.78
2021-04-26Moreirense vs FC PortoHome10.14
2021-04-25Boavista vs MaritimoU 1.5 Goals2.95
2021-04-22Portimonense vs BenficaHome7.5
2021-04-21Braga vs BoavistaAway7.6
2021-04-21Braga vs BoavistaBTTS Yes2.22
2021-04-21Sporting vs BelenensesU 1.5 Goals3.4
2021-04-18Nacional vs FC PortoBTTS Yes2.26
2021-04-18Nacional vs FC PortoAway1.34
2021-04-17Rio Ave vs BragaHome4.75
2021-04-16SC Farense vs SportingU 1.5 Goals3.52
2021-04-16SC Farense vs SportingDraw4.25
2021-04-10Ferreira vs BenficaHome7.5
2021-04-10Tondela vs FC PortoHome10.0
2021-04-05SC Farense vs BragaHome5.97
2021-04-04Vitoria Guimaraes vs TondelaO 2.5 Goals2.36
2021-04-03FC Porto vs Santa ClaraBTTS Yes2.6
2021-03-20Portimonense vs FC PortoHome8.94
2021-03-13Tondela vs SportingHome8.2
2021-03-08Belenenses vs BenficaHome8.47
2021-03-07Maritimo vs MoreirenseO 2.5 Goals2.7
2021-03-06Gil Vicente vs FC PortoHome7.3
2021-02-28Tondela vs Gil VicenteO 2.5 Goals2.58
2021-02-28Portimonense vs MaritimoO 2.5 Goals2.58
2021-02-28Nacional vs BragaO 2.5 Goals2.11
2021-02-22Maritimo vs FC PortoHome9.0
2021-02-21SC Farense vs BenficaHome7.0
2021-02-21Ferreira vs Vitoria GuimaraesO 3.5 Goals5.15
2021-02-21Braga vs TondelaHome1.38
2021-02-20Belenenses vs NacionalDraw3.1
2021-02-20Gil Vicente vs Santa ClaraBTTS Yes2.18
2021-02-20Sporting vs PortimonenseHome1.49
2021-02-16Tondela vs MaritimoAway3.3
2021-02-14Moreirense vs BenficaHome8.5
2021-02-13FC Porto vs BoavistaHome1.26
2021-02-13Nacional vs SC FarenseHome2.66
2021-02-09Gil Vicente vs SportingAway1.58
2021-02-07Braga vs FC PortoBTTS No2.3
2021-02-05Benfica vs Vitoria GuimaraesU 1.5 Goals4.35
2021-02-05Rio Ave vs NacionalO 2.5 Goals2.5
2021-02-04Braga vs PortimonenseHome1.46
2021-02-04Belenenses vs FC PortoHome9.44
2021-02-02Gil Vicente vs FerreiraU 1.5 Goals2.84
2021-02-01Sporting vs BenficaHome2.69
2021-02-01Moreirense vs BragaHome6.0
2021-02-01Santa Clara vs BelenensesAway3.91
2021-01-31Vitoria Guimaraes vs MaritimoAway5.0
2021-01-30Portimonense vs BoavistaO 2.5 Goals2.63
2021-01-25Benfica vs NacionalHome win1.25

what do the frog stars mean?

The frog stars denote the amount of confidence the frog the gambler model has in each of the selections. The four star gold bets are the most confident selections and the one star bets are the least confident.

The confidence level in each of the selections is based around the expected profit given by the model. Every prediction is given a frog rating from 1 to 4 stars, with the four star bets being designated as "gold bets".

Future performance cannot be guaranteed based on results recorded to date. The star ratings could be used as an additional tool to help guide gamblers as to where the value might lie.

what are frog stakes?

Instead of using flat stakes staking exactly the same amount on an odds on team as a 100/1 outsider frog stakes were designed to allow for different amounts to be staked depending on the betting odds available. This method helps smooth out profits and losses over time.

If a selection is above even money (2.0) frog stakes an amount calculated to win 1 unit. If the selection is on or below even money frog stakes 1 unit.

For example:

  • If Liverpool are 1.7 to beat West Ham frog stakes would be 1 unit (because Liverpool are on or below 2.0)
  • If West Ham are 5.0 to beat Liverpool frog stakes would be 0.25 units (if West Ham win return would be (0.25 units * 5.0)-1 unit = 1 unit)

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