Wales - Fa Cup betting performance history
betting performance frog stakes for Wales - Fa Cup
| frog bet star rating | return on stakes (%) | units profit | total bets |
|---|---|---|---|
 | +37.0% | 10.5 | 64 |
  | +31.8% | 3.2 | 15 |
| +33.6% | 5.9 | 26 |
| +5.6% | 3.5 | 124 |
all gold picks for Wales - Fa Cup
| Date | Fixture | Selection | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-30 | Cardiff Metropolitan vs TNS | U 2.5 Goals | 4.33 |
| 2024-02-17 | Bala vs Flint Mountain | U 2.5 Goals | 4.5 |
| 2024-02-16 | Briton Ferry vs TNS | BTTS No | 2.3 |
| 2024-02-16 | Briton Ferry vs TNS | U 2.5 Goals | 3.25 |
| 2023-12-09 | Carmarthen Town vs TNS | BTTS Yes | 2.1 |
| 2023-12-09 | Colwyn Bay vs Barry | BTTS No | 2.6 |
| 2023-11-11 | Airbus vs Briton Ferry | BTTS No | 3.0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Cardiff Metropolitan vs Mold Alexandra | Away | 13.0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Cardiff Metropolitan vs Mold Alexandra | BTTS Yes | 3.0 |
| 2023-11-11 | Haverfordwest vs Ammanford | Away | 11.0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Brickfield vs Guilsfield | U 2.5 Goals | 3.25 |
| 2023-10-17 | Caerau Ely vs Afan Lido | BTTS No | 3.25 |
| 2023-09-15 | Holyhead vs Bangor 1876 | BTTS No | 2.48 |
| 2023-03-04 | Penybont vs TNS | Home | 12.0 |
| 2023-02-04 | Bala vs Briton Ferry | BTTS No | 2.15 |
| 2023-02-04 | Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Airbus | U 2.5 Goals | 3.0 |
| 2023-01-14 | Pontardawe vs Airbus | BTTS No | 3.25 |
| 2022-11-12 | Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Colwyn Bay | BTTS No | 2.09 |
| 2022-11-12 | Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Colwyn Bay | Away | 4.5 |
| 2022-11-11 | TNS vs Caernarfon | Away | 18.0 |
| 2022-11-11 | Penydarren vs Trethomas Bluebirds | BTTS No | 3.3 |
| 2022-10-08 | Chirk AAA FC vs TNS | BTTS Yes | 3.24 |
| 2022-10-08 | Chirk AAA FC vs TNS | U 3.5 Goals | 2.63 |
| 2022-02-19 | TNS vs Guilsfield | BTTS Yes | 2.96 |
| 2022-02-19 | TNS vs Guilsfield | U 3.5 Goals | 3.5 |
| 2022-02-19 | TNS vs Guilsfield | Draw | 21.0 |
| 2022-02-19 | Connahs Quay Nomads FC vs Colwyn Bay | U 2.5 Goals | 2.7 |
| 2021-10-16 | Carmarthen Town vs TNS | Draw | 9.0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Carmarthen Town vs TNS | U 2.5 Goals | 3.0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Saltney Town vs Aberystwyth | Home | 15.0 |
| 2021-10-16 | Saltney Town vs Aberystwyth | U 2.5 Goals | 3.5 |
| 2021-10-16 | Haverfordwest vs Bala | BTTS No | 2.47 |
| 2021-10-16 | Colwyn Bay vs Cardiff Metropolitan | BTTS No | 2.75 |
| 2021-10-15 | Flint vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC | BTTS No | 2.42 |
| 2021-09-25 | Airbus vs Haverfordwest | BTTS No | 2.8 |
| 2021-09-25 | Airbus vs Haverfordwest | Home | 3.1 |
| 2021-09-25 | Swansea University vs Bangor City | BTTS No | 3.25 |
| 2021-09-25 | Cardiff Metropolitan vs Barry | BTTS No | 2.73 |
| 2021-09-25 | Trefelin vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC | Home | 7.25 |
| 2021-09-25 | Trefelin vs Connahs Quay Nomads FC | U 2.5 Goals | 3.4 |
| 2021-09-25 | Aberystwyth vs Druids | BTTS No | 2.09 |
| 2021-09-25 | Bala vs Pontypridd | U 1.5 Goals | 6.15 |
| 2021-09-25 | Bala vs Pontypridd | BTTS No | 2.6 |
| 2021-09-24 | Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin | U 2.5 Goals | 3.22 |
| 2021-09-24 | Colwyn Bay vs Ruthin | BTTS No | 3.19 |
| 2021-09-24 | Conwy Borough vs TNS | Home | 22.0 |
| 2021-09-24 | Conwy Borough vs TNS | U 3.5 Goals | 3.19 |
| 2021-09-24 | Caernarfon vs Prestatyn | Away | 6.0 |
| 2021-09-24 | Caernarfon vs Prestatyn | BTTS No | 2.94 |
| 2021-09-24 | Cambrian & Clydach vs Penybont | BTTS No | 2.94 |
| 2021-09-04 | Llandudno Albion vs Guilsfield | U 3.5 Goals | 2.02 |
| 2021-09-04 | Llandudno Albion vs Guilsfield | Home | 6.65 |
| 2021-09-04 | Llandudno Albion vs Guilsfield | BTTS No | 2.5 |
| 2021-09-03 | Ammanford vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers | Away | 15.0 |
| 2021-09-03 | Ammanford vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers | O 2.5 Goals | 1.27 |
| 2021-09-03 | Denbigh vs Caernarfon | U 2.5 Goals | 4.8 |
| 2021-09-03 | Denbigh vs Caernarfon | Home | 15.0 |
| 2021-09-03 | Llandudno vs Airbus | U 2.5 Goals | 3.4 |
| 2021-09-03 | Gresford vs Colwyn Bay | BTTS No | 2.54 |
| 2021-09-03 | Llandudno vs Airbus | BTTS No | 3.44 |
| 2021-09-03 | Briton Ferry vs Trefelin | BTTS No | 3.2 |
| 2021-09-03 | Briton Ferry vs Trefelin | Away | 8.25 |
| 2021-08-13 | Undy vs Chepstow | BTTS No | 3.14 |
| 2021-08-13 | Undy vs Chepstow | Away | 5.5 |
what do the frog stars mean?
The frog stars denote the amount of confidence the frog the gambler model has in each of the selections. The four star gold bets are the most confident selections and the one star bets are the least confident.
The confidence level in each of the selections is based around the expected profit given by the model. Every prediction is given a frog rating from 1 to 4 stars, with the four star bets being designated as "gold bets".
Future performance cannot be guaranteed based on results recorded to date. The star ratings could be used as an additional tool to help guide gamblers as to where the value might lie.
what are frog stakes?
Instead of using flat stakes staking exactly the same amount on an odds on team as a 100/1 outsider frog stakes were designed to allow for different amounts to be staked depending on the betting odds available. This method helps smooth out profits and losses over time.
If a selection is above even money (2.0) frog stakes an amount calculated to win 1 unit. If the selection is on or below even money frog stakes 1 unit.
For example:
- If Liverpool are 1.7 to beat West Ham frog stakes would be 1 unit (because Liverpool are on or below 2.0)
- If West Ham are 5.0 to beat Liverpool frog stakes would be 0.25 units (if West Ham win return would be (0.25 units * 5.0)-1 unit = 1 unit)
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